Wednesday, March 03, 2010

Smith on Laissez-Faire, Markets and Morals

Edward A. Fallone writes in the Marquette University Law School Faculty Blog
HERE

“As R. Kent Newmyer succinctly summarized it, in his book “John Marshall and the Heroic Age of the Supreme Court,” Marshall understood the rights of property ownership to include an individual’s right “to acquire property and deploy it creatively as he saw fit and to enjoy its fruits without hindrance.” (Newmyer p. 264) But this does not mean that Marshall embraced Adam Smith’s theory of completely free markets, where private business enterprises act completely free from government regulation. First of all, not even Adam Smith advocated for markets that were sealed off from all government regulation. Second of all, while the Framers of the Constitution were aware of Adam Smith, there is little evidence that Smith’s economic theories influenced the Constitution.”

Comment
Adam Smith did not have a “theory of completely free markets” – he did not subscribe to the laissez-faire views of some of the French Physiocrats and did not use the phrase at all. All of the beliefs that he did have such a theory are attributions from the 19th century; at best they were careless exaggerations that missed the nuances of Smith’s political economy; at worst they were the self-interested preferences of merchants and manufacturers in the industrialization of Britain (see: The Economist, the parliamentary spokesmen for mill owners, The Anti-Corn Law League, the Manchester School, J. S. Mill, and non-readers of Wealth Of Nations).

The whole tenor of Wealth Of Nations was about how unfree markets were in 18th century Britain, characterised by the deliberate actions of ‘merchants and manufacturers’ and of mercantile policies favoured by legislators and those special interests that influenced them.

In proposing that these interventions in markets should be swept away, Smith carefully acknowledged that markets should be operated under the rule of law and under the moral guidance of participants.

To ensure compliance, Smith indicated that regulations may be necessary on a case-by-case basis (example: banking, assaying, indicating the quality of certain manufacturers; buildings posing fire risks; and public cleanliness and safety). It was also essential that government intervene in the procurement of certain public works to facilitate commerce and certain public institutions to facilitate education, healthy minds and treatment of obnoxious diseases.

Edward A. Fallone’s assessment is correct broadly.

[NB: Edward Fallone, Associate Professor at Marquette, carries the following in his faculty biography:

When I was a law student, my Corporate Law professor treated the study of insider trading, hostile takeovers and corporate crimes as the dry recitation of legal rules to be memorized. My approach to teaching is different. I teach these cases as human tragedies (and sometimes comedies) involving greed, betrayal and corruption. In my view, the law in this area serves the classic end of all laws: to protect ourselves from our own worst impulses.”

This about as close to a genuine moral ‘Smithian’ approach to people in markets as you can get.]

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Sunday, January 10, 2010

Review Commentary No. 3: Milgate and Stimson's "After Adam Smith":

Murray Milgate and Shannon C. Stimson, 2009. "After Adam Smith: a century of transformation in politics and political economy", Princeton University Press, Princeton, ISBN 978-0-691-14037-7

[I hope from now on to continue with my review/commentary of Milgate and Stimson’s excellent book, which was interrupted by domestic affairs (moving house, etc.,). To re-start my review commentary (Nos. 1 and 2 were posted in November and December)]

Introductory link reminder:

“There is no doubt that the popular (and academic) portrayal of the lifetime-works of Adam Smith is quite at odds with the actual contribution of the Adam Smith born in Kirkcaldy in 1723. It’s as if a completely new persona was invented bearing limited resemblance to him or his surviving works (sometimes referred to on Lost Legacy as the 'Chicago Adam Smith').

I sometimes wonder if anything similar happened to other historical figures from the ancient worlds of Greece and Rome, as it did spectacularly in the case of Jesus, and the thousands who stand out in the great Pantheon of those who are known to us today for their places in the history of human endeavour.

We have The Glasgow Edition of The Life and Correspondence of Adam Smith, from Oxford University Press (and the low cost Liberty Fund editions): The Theory of Moral Sentiments (1759) and An Inquiry into the Nature and Causes of the Wealth Of Nations, plus his extant essays, The History of Astronomy (1744-<1758) and Origins of Language (1761). To these we have surviving student notes of his lectures, Jurisprudence (1762-63) and Rhetoric and Belles Lettres (1763), plus the surviving Correspondence of Adam Smith, and, most important, the definitive biography, The Life of Adam Smith (1996, 2nd ed. 2010) by Ian S. Ross.

We ought, therefore, to be pretty sure as to what constitutes Adam Smith’s oeuvre, but instead of his works being a model of original scholarship, it is riven by contrary, incompatible, and mutually exclusive opinions as to what he wrote and what he meant, much of it advanced by scholars of indisputable integrity.

However, there is even considerable public doubt as to the exact words he used to express his ideas, despite the ready availability of all of his works to whomsoever wishes to consult them – sadly, many scholars pontificate with the certainties of the highly opinionated, who clearly have not read his works for themselves or have forgotten what they must have read years ago.

Now, something must have happened in the 219 years that separate Smith’s life from today. It’s not all down to scholarly slackness. Ideas about the past, and the people who lived through them, do not form in a vacuum. Adam Smith – contrary to trite media assertions – did not write his books as veritable bibles; he was not the ‘high priest’ of economics; he did not ‘invent’ capitalism; nor was he the manic believer in ‘laissez-faire’, and other similar nonsense (Smith neither of the words ‘capitalism’, nor ‘laissez-faire’).

Readers influence the accepted meanings of what an author writes (see, for instance, Willie Henderson, Evaluating Adam Smith: creating the wealth of nations’, 2006, Routledge). Smith's readers are no exception, and because Adam Smith’s name is often quoted (excessively so today) in support of, or as the problem of, current controversies in the (mis)management of economies, it adds to the intellectual – and popular – confusion as to what credence should be given to this or that declamation on one side of the other of those making the noise of interested faction in this first decade of the 21st century.

Lost Legacy readers will know that I am researching the origins of the spread of the notion of an actual (or metaphorical) “invisible hand” in the teaching of economics since the 1940s. From that teaching came forth consequential policies in business and government as students graduated and entered the “ordinary business of life”, and applied their teachers’ wisdom, either within society generally or in their own teaching careers, and inadvertently spreading a conceptual virus like the biological kind.

Earlier last year, I discussed Steven G. Medema’s excellent, The Hesitant Hand: taming self-interest in the history of economic ideas (Princeton University Press), which covered a slice through history from Adam Smith to 20th-century welfare economics. This fits well with the book by Murray Milgate and Shannon C. Stimson, which sweeps through the first hundred years from Adam Smith to the end of the 19th century.

It short, Milgate and Stimson have studied how the “grand ideas” that are attributed to Adam Smith are “as much the product of the gradual modifications and changes wrought by later writers”, such that we “are much the heirs of later images of Smith as we are of Smith himself”. I concur with Milgate and Stimson in this commentary on their book."

I, and many readers, living through the last half of the 20th century, during which “the gradual modifications and changes wrought by later writers” on the unchanged original exposition of the ideas of Adam Smith sleep in pristine innocence in his texts. Therefore, we can compare and contrast his original ideas with the “later images of Smith”, which are often a long way from those written by “Smith himself”.

How we got from what Adam Smith wrote to what modern economists assert about him is a study in the history of intellectual dilution and invented accretion. Murray Milgate and Shannon C. Stimson have written the first part of that history.

Commentary No. 3:

Milgate and Stimson provide an authoritative account of the distorted modern presentations of his thinking that claim him to express ideas and themes known today as a liberal capitalist perspective. It is worth the attention of readers to begin with what Milgate and Stimson say about the ‘rise and fall of civil society’ because this encompasses the basic differences between the way that societies were observed before Smith the 18th century (and earlier) and how they came to be observed from the 19th century (and later).

Society in the feudal (also in earlier allodial forms) and in the mercantile era was a top-down affair, at the head of which was the sovereign, with the feudal lords below him (and the disregarded lower orders below them). The ‘superior orders’ were given to continual unrest, specifically over dynastic issues and territory, including strategic alliances, marriages, and shifting family allegiances and the unavoidable strife they caused before the victors, settled the inheritance for generations of the ownership of vast physical properties, and the power that flowed from them.

These dynastic struggles affected neighbouring kingdoms in Europe in very long and bloody, wars that were fought across neighbouring domains (such as the 30-years and the 100-years wars). They required substantial physical resources and manpower and the means to maintain them. Hence the importance to kings, and those close to them, of mercantile notions of how to pay for and maintain sufficient resources to project their state powers.

Gold and silver were not sought for their own sake; kings did not just sit in their ‘counting houses, counting out their money’ like obsessed misers; money was the very essence of a king’s necessary self-defensive duty to protect his power and his inheritance against the regular violent challenges of rivals (among family kin, cousins, and distant opportunists). Hence, the king’s writ supported his claims on resources through enforcing feudal obligations in taxation and the provisions of armies, and through the ordering of civil society in ways that expressed his legitimate right to control his dominions as he saw fit, with everybody below him, secular and religious, obeying him as if he was ordained by an invisible God. (‘Treason never prospers because if it prospers none dare call it Treason.’)

The re-emergence of despised commerce (regularly condemned as impious by theologists) from around the 15th century, after the so-called ‘dark ages’ since the fall of Rome in the 5th century, was crude, rude and none too genteel, and its participants were liable to be audaciously robbed and bullied by Lords and local disorders, and none too fussy about morals themselves. Despite these unpromising beginnings, merchants and their customers slowly transformed the meaning of traditional civil society by creating, unintentionally, an alternative means to relative wealth from within it. Commerce did not require a revolution; it just needs to find customers.

Milgate and Stimson capture the broad sweep of these changes in Chapter 3 (‘Rise and Fall of Civil Society) by writing a brilliant, intellectual account of the transformation towards a different society, identified by the questions asked by Adam Smith, and others, of the shibboleths of the mercantile state and the associated government regulations that enforced local Incorporated Guilds and international royal-chartered monopolies, of which the East India Company was the most morally disgusting.

Much wringing of hands among philosophers and divines - did it enhance the values of civil society or cause their degeneration? - began with the first appearance of commerce. James Steuart, the last of the traditional mercantilists, equivocated in his Principles of Political Economy (1767), as did another author, Adam Ferguson, the first of what became the new discipline of sociology, in the same year.

Ferguson had an on-off relationship with Smith and an almost romantic vision of the Roman Republic and the civic potential for morality in human society. He saw the progress of commerce, in particular that of the division of labour, as a dual-headed benign blessing, and a not so benign monster.

Karl Marx in Capital mistakenly praised Ferguson, the “tutor”, to Smith, ‘his pupil” from prior publication of his Essay on Civil Society (1767) before Smith’s Wealth Of Nations (1776).

In fact, Smith’s famous references to the productivity of the division of labour, were taken verbatim from Smith’s Glasgow Lectures on Jurisprudence (1762-63), which circulated (as was the norm) as students notes in Glasgow and Edinburgh, where Ferguson probably read them. Ferguson certainly quarrelled with Smith about his allegations of ‘plagiarism’, though how original Smith’s reporting was on the role of the division of labour is questioned today by J-L Peaucelle: ‘Adam Smith’s use of multiple references for his pin making examples’, European Journal of the History of Economic Thought, 13:4, pp480-512.).

Milgate and Stimson’s treatment of these episodic events among the literati are thorough and stimulating, and readers unfamiliar with these debates can glean a great deal from them. The civil-society debate continued in Smith’s work, and in those who like Mandeville preceded him, and those who followed later, such as Ricardo, Mill and Marx, though, as the decades slipped past, the issues matured and their content changed.

Smith is quoted (p 48) from his History of Astronomy (named, by Milgate and Stimson, for an unstated reason, as his ‘lectures’, and date them ‘ca. 1750’); as viewing society as resembling an invented ‘system’ connecting the different movements and effects of reality. They quote from Wealth Of Nations; I quote the whole reference:

It is thus that every system which endeavours, either by extraordinary encouragements to draw towards a particular species of industry a greater share of the capital of the society than what would naturally go to it, or, by extraordinary restraints, force from a particular species of industry some share of the capital which would otherwise be employed in it, is in reality subversive of the great purpose which it means to promote. It retards, instead of accelerating, the progress of the society towards real wealth and greatness; and diminishes, instead of increasing, the real value of the annual produce of its land and labour.

All systems either of preference or of restraint, therefore, being thus completely taken away, the obvious and simple system of natural liberty establishes itself of its own accord. Every man, as long as he does not violate the laws of justice, is left perfectly free to pursue his own interest his own way, and to bring both his industry and capital into competition with those of any other man, or order of men. The sovereign is completely discharged from a duty, in the attempting to perform which he must always be exposed to innumerable delusions, and for the proper performance of which no human wisdom or knowledge could ever be sufficient; the duty of superintending the industry of private people, and of directing it towards the employments most suitable to the interest of the society. According to the system of natural liberty, the sovereign has only three duties to attend to; three duties of great importance, indeed, but plain and intelligible to common understandings: first, the duty of protecting the society from violence and invasion of other independent societies; secondly, the duty of protecting, as far as possible, every member of the society from the injustice or oppression of every other member of it, or the duty of establishing an exact administration of justice; and, thirdly, the duty of erecting and maintaining certain public works and certain public institutions which it can never be for the interest of any individual, or small number of individuals, to erect and maintain; because the profit could never repay the expence to any individual or small number of individuals, though it may frequently do much more than repay it to a great society
.” (WN IV.ix.50-52: 687-89)

Clearly, Smith is not talking about the system that exists (has it ever existed?), but of an imagined system, which if it did exist, then society in practice would be better off than the existing distorted systems of ‘preference and restraint’ will ever be, as long as the ‘preferences and restraints’ continued.

However, the existing mercantile system, despite its drawbacks, of which it had many and against which Smith made a “very violent attack” in Wealth Of Nations, could not stop all ‘progress to opulence”, nor stop it prospering (WN IV.ix.28: 674).

Milgate and Stimson (p 48) assert that “the obvious and simple system of natural liberty” lies at the centre of Smith’s account of the market mechanism” and, further, that “it displaces the centrality of both the state and the direct influence of statesmen” from the market “space”.

In essence, this is the main challenge of market forces to the old verities of civil society; the king, if not dead, is made redundant.

I shall return to this evocative idea and place some caveats upon it in my next review/commentary post on Milgate and Stimson’s excellent book.

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Saturday, November 28, 2009

Why Use Superstition to Explain Markets?

Mark Perry, professor of economics and finance at University of Michigan (Flint) writes a seasonal piece for (US) “Thanksgiving” (HERE): quoting an example from in Boston Globe in 2003.

Giving Thanks for Capitalism, The Invisible Hand, the Miracle of the Free Market and No Turkey Czars

Like in previous years, you probably didn't call your local supermarket ahead of time and order your Thanksgiving turkey this year. Why not? Because you automatically assumed that a turkey would be there when you showed up, and it probably was there when you showed up "unannounced" at the grocery store to select your bird.

The reason your Thanksgiving turkey was waiting for you without an advance order? Because of "spontaneous order," "self-interest," and the "invisible hand" of the free market - "the mysterious power that leads innumerable people, each working for his own gain, to promote ends that benefit many." And even if your turkey appeared in your local grocery stores only because of the "selfishness" or "corporate greed" of thousands of turkey farmers, truckers, and supermarket owners who are complete strangers to you and your family, it's still part of the miracle of the marketplace where "individually selfish decisions lead to collectively efficient outcomes."

In a 2003 Boston Globe column titled "Giving Thanks for the Invisible Hand" Jeff Jacoby explains below why he is thankful for the miracle of the invisible hand that makes affordable turkeys automatically available so efficiently at Thanksgiving:

The activities of countless people over the course of many months had to be intricately choreographed and precisely timed, so that when you showed up to buy a fresh Thanksgiving turkey, there would be one -- or more likely, a few dozen -- waiting. The level of coordination that was required to pull it off is mind-boggling. But what is even more mind-boggling is this: No one coordinated it...

Adam Smith called it "the invisible hand" -- the mysterious power that leads innumerable people, each working for his own gain, to promote ends that benefit many. Out of the seeming chaos of millions of uncoordinated private transactions emerges the spontaneous order of the market. Free human beings freely interact, and the result is an array of goods and services more immense than the human mind can comprehend. No dictator, no bureaucracy, no supercomputer plans it in advance. Indeed, the more an economy *is* planned, the more it is plagued by shortages, dislocation, and failure.

It is commonplace to speak of seeing God's signature in the intricacy of a spider's web or the animation of a beehive. But they pale in comparison to the kaleidoscopic energy and productivity of the free market. If it is a blessing from Heaven when seeds are transformed into grain, how much more of a blessing is it when our private, voluntary exchanges are transformed - without our ever intending it - into prosperity, innovation, and growth
?”

Comments
I wonder where Professor Perry (and Jeff Jacoby) read where Adam Smith called the “invisible hand” the “the mysterious power that leads innumerable people, each working for his own gain, to promote ends that benefit many”, or where he described the “invisible hand” as a “miracle”?

What exactly is the “invisible hand”? Is it always benign? How does anybody know? Is it operated as an intention, a process, or an outcome? Is it divine?
Is it really the case that “the miracle of the marketplace” is where "individually selfish decisions lead to collectively efficient outcomes”? Even the word “efficient” is suspect because it is not one that Smith used (more a neo-classical invention).

Even allowing for the probable fact that Professor Perry’s “Thanksgiving” piece is not intended for technical scrutiny and that it is an example of a snappy piece of journalistic licence intended for popular consumption, I still find it disappointing that the existence of commercial markets for multi-millennia, based on the universal human behaviours of the propensity to “truck, barter, and exchange” (Book I, Wealth of Nations) is wrapped into such unscientific language and thinking as something allegedly “miraculous”, divine, and evidence of “God's signature”, yet how markets work has been known for several centuries.

The phenomenon of social markets which were once “surprising” and then a source of “wonder” has since the 18th century have matured to being “admirable” (Smith’s History of Astronomy, [1744-58], edited by Joseph Black and James Hutton, 1795).

Like the rainbow, which once amazed (‘pots of gold’) and frightened humans in equal measure under thrall of unscientific “pusillanimous superstition”, is now understood as a optical phenomenon to most school children who pay at least a modicum of attention to their lessons. Yet in economics, which claims to be a science, social if not natural, and among mathematical economists in particular, the metaphor of the invisible hand has become a corner stone of neo-classical market doctrine.

Look up almost any of the popular mainstream textbooks since the 1950s and you will find the invisible-hand metaphor spreading its non-secular gloss on a social phenomenon, which is understood by all neo-classical economists, in their cases, perfectly.

It’s a strange old world.

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Friday, October 16, 2009

Spare Us From the Invisible Hand

Patrick Kilbride writes in Chamber Post HERE:

“Free People, Free Minds, Free Markets”

‘In the 18th-century, Adam Smith left us with the indelible image of markets producing desirable social outcomes through the work of an "invisible hand." ’

Comment
In an otherwise neat argument for both liberty and free markets, Patrick Kilbride spoils his case with modern nonsense about Adam Smith and his use of the metaphor of “an invisible hand”.

Smith did not use the metaphor when explaining either how markets work generally (Books I and II, Wealth Of Nations) or how some, but not all, merchant traders preferred to invest locally following their concerns about the higher risks of investing abroad or in shipping (Book IV.ii, Wealth Of Nations).

In fact, a close reading of the only place in Wealth Of Nations where he used the metaphor of an invisible hand, shows that he first explains in detail the circumstances leading some, but not all, merchant traders to behave as they did (paragraphs 1 to 8, chapter 2, Book IV), and only then deploys the metaphor for the consequences of their specific behaviour (“intending their own security”), conforming to the arithmetic rule that the whole (the national annual output of wealth, including local employment) is the sum of its parts – the more merchant traders who are risk averse, despite the high profits from foreign and colonial trade, the greater the total annual wealth, including domestic employment.

Modern economists have invented a whole new meaning to Smith’s singular use of the metaphor, giving it the characteristics of a “law” of markets, though it was never stated as such by Adam Smith.

The modern invented meaning is commonly taught in first year economics courses and textbooks, and such is the effect of it on modern economists, it is extremely difficult to dislodge it – they seldom actually read Wealth Of Nations or even the relevant paragraphs (1 thru 8) and, by relying on a truncated extract from paragraph 9 only, they remain solidly convinced that Adam Smith explicitly stated what their tutors told them he wrote.

This gives succour to hostile critics of markets who throw the “invisible hand” back at them (“invisible fist” or, as seen recently, “invisible middle finger”, and such like). But there is no actual “invisible hand”, it does not exist and never did. The metaphor is just that, a metaphor, and one that was popular in literature, sermons, and poems in the 17th and 18th centuries – I have a list of 59 examples of its uses, besides Smith’s.

Mathematicians called it into being when “proving” that general equilibrium in an imaginary market, loaded with assumptions that removed all semblances of real world economies, was a theoretical possibility (Debreu, Arrow). Others (Samuelson, Freidman) and among them propagandists against Soviet communist planning, used the metaphor to good effect – Stalin needed the gulags to enforce planning, but free markets had an “invisible hand” that did its work without menace.

Editors of Time, Newsweek, Wall Street Journal, Financial Times and assorted media journalists loved the “invisible hand”, Nobel Prize winners sang it praises, and the epigones believed in its miraculous powers with the passionate certainties of Jihadists.

Worse, the invisible hand became an alibi of last resort, flaunted all round as if it existed. When it “failed”, the invisible hand was dumped among wails and the gnashing of teeth in wholesale “confessionals” (Alan Greenspan).

Markets suddenly became naked – they always were naked, but the veil of the invisible hand obscured their nakedness. It never was the answer to everything that could go awry in the normal condition of disequilibrium in all economies, much of it excited to crises by public policy interventions by legislators and those who influenced them.

Smith was right about them and the damage they could inflict – fortunately “there is a lot of ruin” in an economy, as he might have put it in another context...

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Monday, October 12, 2009

A Small Step for Cubans?

The other evening, watching television, an item on the news caught my attention. Apparently, a group of Cuban farmers had been given permission from the Raul Castro government to produce lettuces for private.

This permission seemed to have shown early results, mainly in the form of more lettuces for people who wanted to buy them, in itself an unexceptional outcome to those among us who appreciate how markets work, but for those sceptics, living in the richest economies on the globe, whose impatience with markets leads to their condemnation of them (because they don’t solve all the problems they imagine that they should solve), the new Castro experiment is the thin of end of the wedge to perdition.

Now I have no illusions about Raul Castro, or his brother for that matter, nor for any of the Chinese communist leadership experimenting with capitalist incentives, nor their Vietnamese neighbours, but I do recognise sensible pragmatists who have realised at last that their idealist systems do not work.

Their ideological certainties may make them, and what Lenin< called their “useful idiots” overseas, feel superior to “bourgeois lackeys” like we classical economists, but the realities show them to be utterly wrong about doing away with markets.

The short film clip showed two brothers loading their lettuce harvest onto a waggon, already bursting at the edges with lovely, green lettuces destined for market (or government warehouses – it wasn’t clear which). The sudden rise in production looked phenomenal. Marxists can argue against markets but nobody can argue with an empty market stall under their system and a full one under the “permission” to produce for reward.

I have to say that I watched the changes before me – the brothers were laughing with pride – and I thought of Adam Smith describing how markets worked in Book I and II of Wealth Of Nations and their morality in Moral Sentiments. Instead of their sisters and daughters prostituting themselves to cater for sex tourism, they can work voluntarily in food production or whatever for the benefit of themselves and their customers, if only Castro’s bureaucrats – never short of lettuce under the socialist system – would only get out of the way.

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Sunday, September 27, 2009

Adam Smith No Ideologue

Baron Bodissey writes long articles in the “Gates of Vienna” (HERE)and is connected (how, is not clear) to The Fjordman Files HERE the themes of which are too complex, long and not related much to Lost Legacy’s focus on Adam Smith.

The Scottish philosopher Adam Smith, professor at the University of Glasgow, published his famous The Wealth of Nations in 1776 where he argued in favor of freedom of enterprise. Government should interfere with commerce as little as possible and limit itself to three primary duties: Provide defense against foreign invasion, maintain civil order with courts and police protection, and sponsor certain indispensible public works and institutions that could not make adequate profit for private investors. Smith made the pursuit of self-interest in a competitive market the source of a natural harmony and equilibrium. The “invisible hand” of free competition would gradually lead to increased wealth for all.”

Comment
I take the view that if Baron Bodissey is wrong in both detail and in general about a small paragraph from his long histories of the world, such as Adam Smith’s role in his big-picture spectacular history of everything, I expect the rest of his article may well contain similar errors too.

When Adam Smith wrote Wealth Of Nations he was no longer a professor at a University of Glasgow. He left the university in 1764 to undertake tutorial duties with the Duke of Buccleugh in a tour of Europe (1764-1766, during which he commenced writing his famous book from lectures notes from his professorial stint (1751-64), published in 1980 as Adam Smith’s Lectures On Jurisprudence (1978; Oxford University Press) and possibly from notes of his Edinburgh lectures, 1748-51. Wealth Of Nations took from 1764 to 1776 to write and was published in 1776.

Smith did not write in favour of “enterprise”; he wrote in favour of “commercial society”. The former is a projection of a modern word onto the past; in fact, he displayed throughout Wealth Of Nations strong suspicions about the conduct of “merchants and manufacturers”.

To summarise Smith as saying that “Government should interfere with commerce as little as possible” is another back projection onto the historical facts. It conflates Smith’s “violent attack” on the conduct of political economy in mid-eighteenth century Britain, in the form of “mercantile”, government-sponsored, monopoly privileges granted as favours to special interests, as promoted by individual legislators, and those who influenced them, often associated with bribery and other favours (of which the East India Company was a prominent example), with modern misinterpretations of Smith’s legacy by his epigones.

Smith was not opposed to government-directed activities, and those he specifically advocated were not minor aberrations. Defence was a major expense in the annual budget – the seven-years war with France cost £120 millions – and it remained a major budget item well into the 19th century. The defence sector employed tens of thousands annually, both in the defence establishment (unproductive soldiers and seamen) and in productive defence employees, manufacturing defence supplies for a profit for the defence establishment. Technologies associated with defence, shipping, navigation, charts, overseas exploration and bases, and foreign relations, played a major role in the changing domestic economy and in British international trade.

civil order with courts and police protection” was an absolutely crucial pre-condition for the development of a domestic commercial society. It was not just an “expense” to be minimised in a sort of 19th-century “watchman state”. Without justice, society would “crumble into atoms” and “a man would enter an assembly of men as he enters a den of lions” (Moral Sentiments II.ii.4: 86). With the growth of commerce, the role of contracts proliferated and was reflected in the administration of law, and the professions of lawyers.

Smith’s observation is inadequately stated as “indispensible public works and institutions that could not make adequate profit for private investors”. This is a major task, the scale of which is hidden in the brevity of Baron Bodissey’s sentence.

The appalling state of roads in 18th-century Britain required the building of thousands of miles of roads; the construction of canals, likewise; and the dredging of the hundreds of harbours around Britain added to a major capital investment in both the building and, crucially, the annual maintenance of this infra-structure on a scale that mocks the dismissive assertion that this policy was one requiring the government to “interfere with commerce as little as possible and limit itself” to a few minor tasks.

Assuming that Smith’s suggestions for government were adopted by an 18th or a 19th-century government, it would have required the substantial commercial activity of scores of commercial firms for the profitable building and maintenance of the infra-structure, spread over many decades.

That the building of these projects could never repay the projectors (Smith’s original point) did not mean that they could not make a profit for building and/or maintaining them if the government funded their erection. How they were to be funded was a matter for the public finances (fight fewer wars?), which does not in any way limit their economic impact given existing relationships between government funding (defence, is classic) and commercial suppliers of the means (infra-structure builders). Most ‘watchman-state’ attributors to Adam Smith miss the point.

[Of course, the notion of the ‘watchman state’ is wrongly attributed to Adam Smith; it was actually invented as an idea by Ferdinand Lassalle, the 19th-century, fire-brand socialist – Adam Smith, once again was innocent).

Baron Bodissey in identifying Smith’s “limited” role for government to “indispensible public works and institutions”, missed out saying anything about “public institutions” (even missing the adjective, “public”, as used by Smith in Wealth Of Nations), which is somewhat sad because the sheer scale of intervention that would have been necessary to put his recommendations into effect hides the extent of the prime role of education he envisaged for a commercial society.

Briefly, to erect a “little school” in every parish would have involved more than 60,000 such schools across the country – though Scotland already had “little schools”, having started on mass education in the 1600s). Add the teachers for such schools to the simple buildings, and book supplies, this was a formidable undertaking – if it had been taken up.

Smith discusses the role of government (Book V, Wealth Of Nations) under the heading of public finance – budget items and taxation. He does not disucss the role of intervention of a legislative kind. He was ferociously critical of much government legislative intervention – the creation of monopolies, protectionism and barriers to trade, jealousies of trade, and wars cause by such, and the imposition of various statutes (Apprentices, Settlement, Guilds, Patents of monopolies, and such like), and colonial policies. This does not mean he did not envisage a regulatory role for government.

Smith advocated certain other roles too. Among these there are his call for government intervention in special cases, even when such regulations are “a manifest violation of that natural liberty”, as the issuance of “promissory notes” for small sums (WN II.ii.84: 324), a small step in 18th-century banking, but one that was bound to expand with the expansion of commercial banking . Smith associated such interventions with the building of party wall to prevent the spread of fire, as common sense, not excluded by ideology.

Baron Bodissey ends his ommision-filled paragraph with “Smith made the pursuit of self-interest in a competitive market the source of a natural harmony and equilibrium. The ‘invisible hand’ of free competition would gradually lead to increased wealth for all.Lost Legacy readers will recognise the multiple errors in Baron Bodissey’s summary of Smith’s view wrapped in two sentences.

The derivation of “free competition” from the “invisible hand” (or vice versa) uses a redundant metaphor, which explains nothing and, being a metaphor, is not required to do so, and misleads by inferring the actual existence of such a entity (see Lost Legacy passim).

The metaphor of “an invisible hand”, used only once in Wealth Of Nations (Book IV.ii.9: 456) was really about the arithmeticl rule - 'whole is the sum of its parts' – the more merchants who invested locally, in preference to foreign trade because of their aversion to the risks of losing sight of their capital, the larger would be total local investment and employment.

Many merchants continued trading internationally profitably despite the perceived risks. This outcome – larger local investment and employment would result whatever the competitive, or non-competitive, commercial society, ergo, the invisible hand metaphor had nothing to do with competition – it was to do with profitability tempered by risks.

Baron Bodissey links conclusions from modern general equilibrium theory (“free competition would gradually lead to increased wealth for all”) and not from Wealth Of Nations.

“Increased wealth for all” is not contingent on free competition; “increased wealth for all” would be greatly assisted by “free competition" but has not yet been experienced so far, except in tiny pockets for short periods of time. Mercantile distortions on commerce have long been prevalent and despite them, a gradual increase in wealth has been experienced by large proportions of the populations of all commercial societies over long periods (in Britain’s case, since the 16th century).

There are no “invisible hands” guiding commercial societies; there are only the powerful affects of markets, distorted, hampered, and inhibited by the local institutions and habits prevalent in particular societies. Markets work despite obstacles put in their way (ruinous interventions, wars, civil strife, cultural prejudices, politics and religions). Some work more efficiently than others.

Smith observed and understood. He didn’t expect the utopia of free trade to occur, he didn’t perceive that “natural liberty” was an essential pre-condition for the “progress to opulence”. He was not a visionary, nor a ‘man with a mission’. He was a moral philosopher, not ideologue.

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Sunday, September 13, 2009

Let Millions of Indian Street Vendors Flourish into Middle Class Taxpayers

Sauvik Chakraverti (Libertarian Opinion From Indyeah) posts in ANTIDOTE HERE:

Sauvik Chakraverti covers the eviction of Indian street vendors in Bangalore and discusses the effects of this behaviour on the development of the poor trading classes. He finishes by contrasting the experiences of poor traders in Singapore:

When Singapore became independent in 1965 (after Nehru’s death) there were 2,50,000 street hawkers in the city-state. They are all part of the tax-paying middle class today. The same can – and must – happen here.”

This is by way of a debate with a senior economist on Adam Smith. Plenty of material for an illustrated session with students on the realities of economic development. Follow the link.

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Wednesday, August 05, 2009

The Hesitant Hand by Steve Medema: Review Part 2

In the ‘Hands of Adam’ Steve Medema shows his class as an historian of economic ideas. I found his account of the role of self-interest in commercial society very fair, without the usual cliché errors found in many accounts.

Starting from the proposition in Moral Sentiments that our benevolence towards others diminishes as social distance increases without damaging the social fabric because all others have degrees of overlapping benevolence right across society, and benevolence is not, and cannot be, the sole, or even major force, for exchange behaviour, and, fortunately for human habitation and procreation, it is not necessary that it be so.

A society, we are reminded in TMS can exist with loving relationships, and it is well when it does, but it can also exist without such feelings provided there is a ‘mercenary exchange of good offices’.

Enter here the famous assertion by Smith of the ‘butcher, the brewer, and the baker’ and our need when engaged in an exchange transaction to appeal to their interests not ours (be ‘other centred’; never selfish). Steve shows that for Smith, self-interest is not a ‘one way street’ – what a lot of senseless twaddle would be saved if miss-readers of Smith would get that right!

Steve correctly sets out self-interest in Smith’s lexicon:

‘that the pursuit of self-interest serves the best interests of society as a whole, that self-interest and the social interests are partners rather than enemies’ (19). Self-interest should be facilitated rather than restrained.

The explanation of why this was true for Smith is wonderfully clear, though, Steve notes, ‘Smith is at once vividly descriptive and maddeningly vague’. Echoing Mirabeau (thinking you serve yourself, you serve others), the individual attempts to employ his capital where he expects to earn the highest return, and in doing so, he generally neither intends to promote the public interest, nor knows how much he is promoting it’, followed by the famous metaphor of ‘an invisible hand’.

Steve comments:

‘An invisible hand – this is a specific as Smith gets. What Smith meant by this is anyone’s guess, and plenty of guesses have been offered, ranging from God to government’. But whatever it is, Smith was convinced of its propensity to channel self-interest in socially useful directs’(20).

I can agree with that formulation as it encompasses Smith’s proper use of a metaphor, which is to explain something by adding ‘beauty’ when ‘so adapted that it gives due strength of expression to the object to be described and at the same time does so in a more striking and interesting manner’ (Smith: Lectures in Rhetoric and Belles Lettres, 1763).

A great deal of wasted ink and paper would be spared if only economists would read the nine paragraphs of Wealth Of Nations leading to the metaphor of the invisible hand and see how simply caps his technical description of economic and social process leading to people thinking they are serving themselves when in fact they serve general society, by his employing the common 18th-century metaphor of ‘an invisible hand’. Steve’s compromise treatment is masterly.

Smith develops the sense of ‘congruence’ (Steve’s word), even ‘harmony’ as ‘some would say’ (I prefer potential ‘congruence’) between private and social interests, to his critique of mercantile political economy and Physiocracy, both of which, Steve shows, inevitably distort by monopolies and misguided government interventions (those promoted by lobbying for special, especially corrupt, interests) and thereby interfering with the otherwise free actions of individuals judging their best interests in moral and legally constrained codes of behaviour and acting accordingly.

Here Steve highlights something that is worth developing (21). The absence in Smith’s work of a critique of the ‘internal logic’ of mercantile or Physiocratic thinking: on their own terms they promote the ends they seek (the accumulation of gold or the growth of agriculture output) – as China seems to be sliding towards in buying up the planet with its mountains of US treasury bills and hoping to hold down peasant incomes.

Smith disagreed with their consequences – state action by the former theories (necessarily at the sacrifice of liberty) versus growth of real wealth (the annual output of the ‘necessities, conveniences, and amusements of life’) through individual self-interest in conditions of liberty.

Steve confronts the conundrum of self-interested actions can be malign. Some voices, bought and paid for, advocate absolute freedom for corporations and individuals, the consequences of which are discussed widely. Unfortunately, the remedies (especially from the environmental lobby) of which involve draconian interventions by uncontrollable governments, agencies and neighbourly busy-bodies, plus ‘that insidious and crafty animal, vulgarly called a statesmen or politician’ (WN IV.ii.39).

Steve recognises that Smith was never a one-track voice for everything changing at once. He was far more pragmatic; never an ideologue. He did not make many predictions, nor did he expect much to change, except ‘slowly and gradually’, perhaps in many cases never quite reaching its end goal. He said as much in respect of free trade ever becoming accepted in Great Britain this side of ‘utopia’.

His message was that competitive markets were generally better than state grand plans. He didn’t even consider that ‘natural liberty’, as was envisaged by the Physiocrats, was a necessary condition for the spread of opulence – if it was, he opined, it is unlikely that any country would ever have progressed towards it (WN ix.28: 674).

Nor, Steve observes, were the necessary roles of government minimal (23) – Smith was not a laissez-faire purist or even near being so. The list of proposed roles for the state, collected in Book V and elsewhere scattered throughout Wealth Of Nations, is quite long, and probably much longer than the purveyors of Smith, the laissez-faire advocate, realise. Steve covers this material with both conviction and economically.

Smith, says Steve:

‘was not, as some have imagined, a proto-modern. Smith’s view of man is not economic man with his rational, single-minded pursuit of his self-interest’. Furthermore, Smith did not argue that private action was optimal, in the modern efficiency sense, nor even that it was superior to governmental alternatives. Smith considered the link between private and social interests partial and imperfect, but he was also of the mind that self-interest, properly channelle, tended to engender positive results, rather than negative ones, and that government interference with its operation in the economic sphere would generally lead to inferior results’ (25).

I think we can sum up Smith’s approach as being: ‘markets where possible; the state where necessary’.

Steve’s last line in this chapter is evocative:

Self-interest, then, had finally found legitimacy’.

[In Part 3 we move on to the ‘Harnessing of Self-Interest’ with ‘Mill and Sidgwick and the evolution of market failure’.]

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Wednesday, June 03, 2009

Markets as a First Choice

There’s a real distinction between being in favor of free markets and being in favor of whatever business does”, from a heading in Death and Taxes Blog reporting a lunchtime talk and subsequent Q & A session between Milton Friedman and the audience HERE: http://politics.randomplayground.net/2009/06/02/theres-a-real-distinction-between-being-in-favor-of-free-markets-and-being-in-favor-of-whatever-business-does/

Comment
It’s not clear if Milton Friedman actually put it that way, but it is pretty clear from his talk and answers to questions that he did not exempt businesses from criticism for their actions in practice.

How could he? He already had the excellent example of Adam Smith noting almost unanimously in Wealth Of Nations the scheming monopolistic tendencies of ‘merchants and manufacturers’, small groups of tradesmen in the town Guilds system seldom meeting even for merriment and diversion and ending up conspiring to raise prices, and he knew how legislators and those who influenced them proposed legislation that benefited their business sponsors by curtailing supply with tariffs and prohibitions to widen their markets and raise prices.

In short, for over 250 years businesses pursued their individual self-interests precisely in their self interests. The antidote was not, is not, nationalisation or regulation; it was and remains extending competition through freer markets.

I remember listening in astonishment to an MP, shortly after Mrs Thatcher’s government deregulated the exchange in foreign currencies so that licensed people could open little Bureau du changes in the high street to compete with local banks. The MP complained that in his constituency these new licensed exchange bureaus were charging much more to trade foreign holiday currency than the local banks. ‘It is a rip-off’, he cried, and wanted legislation to stop it. And this was a Conservative Party MP!

The answer, instead’ surely was to publicize the higher prices and the profits. That’s all it would take to induce new entrants into the exchange rate business in pursuit of the alleged ‘high’ profits, and let competition do its work (which is what happened, eventually).

Freer market advocates do not defend all, or any specific actions, of business entrepreneurs; they advocate using markets were possible to allow the impartial gales of competition to discipline market behaviours and benefit consumers.

You don’t need to introduce battalions of inspectors (and their plus premises, supervisors, pensions, and expenses) to patrol the country looking for ‘excess profiteering’ – and battalions of lawyers to be engaged in prosecuting and defending alleged profiteers. Nor does it require business personnel to meet in lobbying organisations – with their expensive staffs and insider contacts – to look after their interests, monitor legislation proposals, and generally subvert the independence of the legislature (and compromise the integrity of 'insiders'. Competitive markets are the best available instrument.

In that prescription, Lost Legacy and Milton Friedman are in agreement with Adam Smith.

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Friday, April 17, 2009

A Myth of Free Markets

Dan McLaughlin posts (17 April) a book review of “Free Lunch” By David Cay Johnston in Citizen Economists HERE: http://www.citizeneconomists.com/blogs/2009/04/17/free-lunch-by-david-

“Quotations from Adam Smith are generously sprinkled throughout the book, and made to sound as though the champion of free markets would have supported Johnston’s proposals for big government and heavy regulation of business.

According to Johnston’s analysis, the problems that modern America faces are due to alleged “deregulation”. The author summarizes his confusion early on when he says “In the past quarter century or so our government has enacted new rules that have created not only free markets, but rigged ones.” If the markets are “rigged”, they are not free in any sense. The regulators rig the market and make it un-free. It shouldn’t be that hard to make the connection. The regulation that he longs for has always been written by the regulated, to the detriment of competitors, taxpayers and the buying public.”

Comment
Dan McLaughlin makes a good point about ‘deregulation’. There is mantra circulating that ‘deregulation’ being bad and ‘regulation being good, wrapped in an assertion that the capitalist economies have been too laissez-faire and that the government has to intervene in the so-called ‘free markets’ supposed to exist all around us, summed as the government must introduce tighter regulation.

The problem with this debate is that the premise is incorrect. Markets are hardly free when the existing regulation (supported by laws, such as in the European Union, covering everything from hours of work, overtime, consultation over social issues, Health and Safety, discipline, redundancies, human rights, race, feminism, labelling, testing, supervision, insurance, minimum wages, pensions, copyrights, patents, planning procedures, banking and finance, and so on and on).

It’s not that these regulations are all bad – though some are barmy – it’s that their existence contradicts assertions about ‘free markets’, and I have only mentioned a few of them. Capitalist markets are dominated by Big Government, hence we do not have anything remotely like laissez-faire (which, contrary to assertion, never featured in Adam Smith’s political economy). It’s more accurately described as State Capitalism, with governments intervening with ever more legislation to impact on businesses, egged on or resisted by armies of professional lobbyists.

Not everybody who quotes from Adam Smith respects his legacy, nor do they all understand it. Dan McLaughlin appears to do so more than the author of the book he reviewed.

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Friday, April 03, 2009

The Wonder, Not the Miracle, of Markets

Will Wilkinson, a research fellow at the Cato Institute and editor of Cato Unbound (an organisation I would expect normally to agree with broadly) writes:

Obama's self-immolating capitalism”

“There are two capitalisms. There is mundane market capitalism and there is political capitalism. Markets regulated by the rule of law and governed by a freely functioning price system are post and beam in the architecture of prosperity. You step into a grocery and there in the freezer are your coveted waffles waiting as if someone knew you were coming for them. But no one is looking after your need for breakfast treats. Each looks after her own needs by looking to the free play of prices and there emerges a rough-but-remarkable convergence of the waffles wanted and the waffles supplied. As the great Adam Smith noted, it seems like magic, but it's not. It's just amazing -- in the way the evolution of the eye is amazing
.”

Comment
Where does Will locate his last sentence is ‘noted’ in Smith’s works (as above): ‘As the great Adam Smith noted, it seems like magic, but it's not. It's just amazing -- in the way the evolution of the eye is amazing”?Markets may be amazing, but no miracles, nor magic, are involved (nor were they in the evolution of the eye).

How markets work is explained in Wealth Of Nations without relying on miracles or magic. The great 19th-century French polemicist for markets, Bastiat, dramatized the wonder of markets in providing Paris overnight with the items for its citizens’ breakfast.

We can appreciate the raw beauty of the rainbow without having to believe in miracles or magic. Smith called such outbursts ‘pusillanimous superstition’.

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Wednesday, March 11, 2009

Amartya Sen's Two Brilliant Essays on the Relevance of Adam Smith Today

Amartya Sen writes two great articles of current relevance on Adam Smith. The shorter one is in the Financial Times HERE and the longer one is in the New York Review of Books HERE.

I recommend them both to you (following correspondents asking if I had read them, and, presumably, looking for my comments on Lost Legacy). As I have been busy completing my paper on ‘Adam Smith’s Alleged Religiosity’, I chose not to post a comment last week, but to generate more publicity for an approach with which I agree and I am pleased now to recommend them and I provide links to the two articles and a very short extract:

‘Adam Smith’s market never stood alone’

“For example, the pioneering works of Adam Smith in the eighteenth century showed the usefulness and dynamism of the market economy, and why—and particularly how—that dynamism worked. Smith's investigation provided an illuminating diagnosis of the workings of the market just when that dynamism was powerfully emerging. The contribution that The Wealth of Nations, published in 1776, made to the understanding of what came to be called capitalism was monumental. Smith showed how the freeing of trade can very often be extremely helpful in generating economic prosperity through specialization in production and division of labor and in making good use of economies of large scale.

Those lessons remain deeply relevant even today (it is interesting that the impressive and highly sophisticated analytical work on international trade for which Paul Krugman received the latest Nobel award in economics was closely linked to Smith's far-reaching insights of more than 230 years ago). The economic analyses that followed those early expositions of markets and the use of capital in the eighteenth century have succeeded in solidly establishing the market system in the corpus of mainstream economics.

But Smith's defense of private trade only took the form of disputing the belief that stopping trade in food would reduce the burden of hunger. That does not deny in any way the need for state action to supplement the operations of the market by creating jobs and incomes (e.g., through work programs). If unemployment were to increase sharply thanks to bad economic circumstances or bad public policy, the market would not, on its own, recreate the incomes of those who have lost their jobs. The new unemployed, Smith wrote, "would either starve, or be driven to seek a subsistence either by begging, or by the perpetration perhaps of the greatest enormities," and "want, famine, and mortality would immediately prevail...."

Smith rejects interventions that exclude the market — but not interventions that include the market while aiming to do those important things that the market may leave undone.

Despite all Smith did to explain and defend the constructive role of the market, he was deeply concerned about the incidence of poverty, illiteracy and relative deprivation that might remain despite a well-functioning market economy. He wanted institutional diversity and motivational variety, not monolithic markets and singular dominance of the profit motive. Smith was not only a defender of the role of the state in doing things that the market might fail to do, such as universal education and poverty relief (he also wanted greater freedom for the state-supported indigent than the Poor Laws of his day provided); he argued, in general, for institutional choices to fit the problems that arise rather than anchoring institutions to some fixed formula, such as leaving things to the market.”

Amartya Sen received the 1998 Nobel Prize in economics; he teaches economics and philosophy at Harvard University and he has written an introduction for the anniversary edition of ‘The Theory of Moral Sentiments’ (Penguin Books, 2009) in which he discusses the contemporary relevance of Smith’s ideas.

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Monday, March 09, 2009

How To Make a Problem Worse

Abdullah Waheed’s Blog HERE: carries this:

Fishermen’s Demonstration”

“From an academic point of view the results of the demonstration was spectacular. Some of the participants rediscovered the theory of supply and demand, more than 200 years after Adam Smith described it in his Wealth of Nations. "When we catch more fish the price goes down; when we catch less the price goes up," a young participant said.

Umar's main demand was to empower fishermen to set their own prices. He does have a point here. Currently the market is a buyer's market where a cartel of monopolists decides the price because they are better organized with more resources. Fishermen could get better prices if they had collective bargaining power.

On the other hand, Umar's demand for base prices of Rf 45/kg for yellow fin tuna and Rf 10/kg for skipjack may not be feasible without government subsidies. The question is can the Maldives afford more subsidies in the present economic crisis?


Comment
I found this snippet interesting. The problem is the “cartel of monopolists” which pays fishermen a price much lower than the desired price the fishermen want (presumably they can see how much their ‘yellow fin tuna’ and their ‘skipjack’ sell for at wholesalers’ cartel prices).

Their ambition is to secure, somehow, ‘collective bargaining power’, presumably by a new law or by collective action to break the cartel., and then to raise their prices to Rk 45/kg and Rf 10/kg respectively. The retail prices of the fish are not stated, but there are bound to be distribution costs and profit to be added.

If the government is to subsidise from taxation to bring the retail price down to what is currently affordable it seems this policy would open up other problems, not least of which is: to whom is the subsidy paid? The fishermen, the wholesale buyers, the consumer?

In the context of general subsidies already (‘can the Maldives afford more subsidies in the present economic crisis?’), distorting an already distorted market (the prevalence of the ‘buyers cartel’) is not a sensible policy.

Supply and demand at this level cannot be ignored. If the ‘participants’ take note of supply and demand (with or without Adam Smith’s cumbersome analytical structure) and it operates in the Maldives fishing sector, it suggests that the fishermen’s collective buying power will also rise and fall in its negotiated price, and so will government subsidies, and the retail price of fish.

The problem is caused by the buyers’ cartel and the fishermen’s submission to it.

Without knowledge of the geography of the Maldives I cannot suggest the appropriate response to implement the Smithian remedy of breaking monopoly powers on both sides of the market. But the answer lies in that area rather than in government (taxpayers’) subsidies.

As a correspondent reminds me, Adam Smith commented on the practice of subsidies and bounties for the fishing sector from government in Wealth Of Nations:

"Secondly, the bounty to the white-herring fishery is a tonnage bounty; and is proportioned to the burden of the ship, not to her diligence or success in the fishery; and it has, I am afraid, been too common for vessels to fit out for the sole purpose of catching, not the fish, but the bounty" (WN IV.a.32: p 520).

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Wednesday, February 04, 2009

A Classic Example of the Misuse of a Metaphor

John McCarthy writes in Florida Today HERE:

Gas-price rise 'illogical'
AAA spokesman can't equate it with the fall in demand and crude oil cost


One supposedly inviolable law of classical economics is that when the supply of a resource is greater than demand for it, the price of that resource will fall. The "invisible hand" of the marketplace should see to that, the father of economics, Adam Smith, said.

Comment
I know of no ‘inviolable law of classical economics' that ever mentions ‘an invisible hand’ and I am sure that John McCarthy or anybody else does not know of one either.

I do know of countless statements since the 1950s that says there is a ‘theory’, ‘concept’, even ‘paradigm’, and now a ‘law’ that Adam Smith believed that market places were managed by ‘an invisible hand’, but that is not the same as Adam Smith actually having done so.

In fact, he didn’t; he mentions the 18th-century literary metaphor on ‘an invisible hand’ only once in Wealth Of Nations, but not in reference to his theory of markets, which he analyses and elaborates in Books I and II of his classic work.

His sole reference to ‘an invisible hand’ occurs in Book IV in his brilliant critique of mercantile political economy – the very same economic system practised by Georgian Britain, which caused the American rebellion in 1776-83, and produced eventually the United States of America.

And for the record, Smith didn’t mention the metaphor in the other two books of Wealth of Nations (Books III and V).

His reference to ‘an invisible hand’ occurs after he has explained how the risk- avoidance behaviours of some merchants prompts them not to send their scarce capital abroad to the British colonies in North America (dangerous sea passage, unknown trading partners, backed by local colonial laws and practices, and uncertain, though high, profits).

Their risk avoidance prompted these merchants (but by no means all, of course – those prepared to trade in the colonies did well because of the British monopoly of colonial trade, backed by the Royal Navy’s enforcement of the Navigation Acts) to invest their capital domestically, without the risks of sea voyages, where they knew with whom they traded and had knowledge of the reliability of the local courts, and were more certain about their, albeit perhaps lower, profits.

So, risk-avoidance, and the obvious arithmetical law that the whole is the sum of its parts, led to domestic British capital formation to be higher than it would be if more merchants had sent their capital abroad. Additional domestic capital invested locally added to the total of domestic investment, which in turn added to local employment and to national output.

Having said all these over several pages in Book IV, Adam Smith added the metaphor that these merchants – but clearly not the others! – were ‘led by an invisible hand’ to add to domestic investment and output, though they only intended ‘their own security’.

Look it up in Wealth Of Nations (WN IV.ii.9: p 456). That is all Adam Smith meant by the invisible hand- a summary explanation of what he had explained in straight economic terms, but never a ‘theory’, and certainly not a ‘law’, except, perhaps, of arithmetic.

Indeed, John McCarthy uses the rest of his article to explain with potential facts what is causing gas prices to remain high – real prospects of a refinery strike by the US Steel workers Union in Florida, causing retail gas companies to stock-pile gas inventories in the event of the strike. The higher the price of gas at the pump at present, the more of their future supplies will remain in their inventories for use during the strike. That will keep gas customers driving for longer during a strike.

Correct analysis from John McCarthy without any need to misuse Adam Smith’s literary metaphor. He could have re-cast his wrong reference to Adam Smith by, perhaps, suggesting that the oil companies are being restrained by an ‘invisible hand’ from reducing their prices in the prospect of the strike-bound near-future situation! (Just joking.)

But that is not how modern economists, and those influenced by them, see how Smith’s use of the famous metaphor was quite different from their 20th-century invented attribution to him.

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Monday, January 19, 2009

A Classic Spoiled by Mysticism

‘Chief’ posted (18 January) on Tragedy of the Commons (HERE):

the text of the near brilliant, but slightly flawed, short outline of the powers of markets, identified by Leonard Read’s essay “I, Pencil”, as a process of disconnected coordination, without planning, central directions, or anything other than human beings acting, reacting, and pro-acting, to opportunities signalled by prices, rumours, and probabilities.

Chief, however, tops his post with a short paragraph by Milton Friedman, complete with his mystical allusions to the metaphor of an ‘invisible hand’, which detracts from the ordinariness of human endeavour, as if markets contain pure and innocent spirits, sometimes attributed to the will of a living Deity.

Friedman’s introduction spoils the softer power of Read’s ‘I, Pencil’, leaving it trapped in what Adam Smith had called ‘Surprise and Wonder’ but well short of ‘Admiration’, which comes from knowledge, the final step of human understanding (See Adam Smith, posthumous, ‘The Principles which lead and direct Philosophical Enquiries; illustrated by the History of Astronomy, [1744-58: 1795], in Essays on Philosophical Subjects, pp 5-129; 1980, Liberty Press).

‘Savages’ claimed their lives were ruled by invisible beings in everything they could not understand. Philosophers, wrote Smith, uncover the ‘connecting’ and ‘invisible links’ of events and, as a result, science marches on.

Milton Friedman and Leonard E. Read, both of whom made outstanding contributions in their writings, in this matter, however, both of them unintentionally led their readers away from understanding towards mysticism, only a step of two away from what Smith called ‘pusillanimous paganism’.

They became responsible in part for an unscientific sediment in political economy which wraps the ordinariness of human markets that are perfectly understandable within economics and without invisible body parts.

Markets operate without the mumbo jumbo of divine purpose (an unholy notion, I would have thought, linking the honest man from Galilee with the global market economy), and without the widespread populist belief in, not the simple literary metaphor used by Adam Smith for another purpose (see Lost Legacy passim), and without actual ‘invisible hands’, as if they really exist in the world in general and in markets in particular.

You can (and should) read Leonard Read’s ‘I, Pencil’ HERE:

Leonard E. Read (1898-1983) founded FEE in 1946 and served as its president until his death.

"I, Pencil," his most famous essay, was first published in the December 1958 issue of The Freeman. Although a few of the manufacturing details and place names have changed over the past forty years, the principles are unchanged.

'I, Pencil' reported that his ‘official name is "Mongol 482." My many ingredients are assembled, fabricated, and finished by Eberhard Faber Pencil Company’

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Friday, January 02, 2009

'Fair Trade' Made Possible by Globalisation

Mike Veseth, Robert G. Albertson Professor of International Political Economy at the University of Puget Sound, writes on the Wine Economist Blog on “Fair Trade Wine” (HERE):

Fair Trade products attempt to use globalization to offset some of the negative potential effects of globalization. Global market forces can sometimes lead to the exploitation of natural resources and unskilled labor, for example. The “sympathy” that Adam Smith thought would condition market relations breaks down when producer and consumer are separated by thousands of miles and multiple commodity chain links.

“…because consumers are often better informed and more interested in the origins of and production conditions associated with wine than for most other consumer goods.”

“Wine enthusiasts are thirsty for information about where wines come from, who made them and how. Fair Trade provides this information in a way that informs, educates and potentially produces social and economic change
.”

Comment
I do not think it is the case that ‘The “sympathy” that Adam Smith thought would condition market relations breaks down when producer and consumer are separated by thousands of miles and multiple commodity chain links.’

In fact, I am not sure that Adam Smith thought of “sympathy” quite in the way that Mike Veseth presents it. It is clear in Moral Sentiments that sympathy was both a general and a local phenomenon associated with how humans live in societies (as they always have).

We can be concerned about events that affect complete strangers, as well has have intense sentiments towards a close relative, with diminishing degrees of intensity as persons are more ‘distant’ in their relationship with us, for example, second and third cousins, through to strangers.

Indeed, that is how we would expect it to be. The circles of people with whom their immediate relationships overlap is an effective bonding force for society (of which the ‘six degrees of separation’ is a crude illustration). Your friends and acquaintances have their own and quite distinct friends and acquaintances, and, like the ‘little fleas’ in the poem, so on ‘an infinitum’.

Smith links these points well in Moral Sentiments, when discussing the connection between man the social animal, who knows a few others well and most others less well or not at all, and how this still stabilises society, both inter-personally and economically:

It is thus that man, who can subsist only in society, was fitted by nature to that situation for which he was made. All the members of human society stand in need of each others assistance, and are likewise exposed to mutual injuries. Where the necessary assistance is reciprocally afforded from love, from gratitude, from friendship, and esteem, the society flourishes and is happy. All the different members of it are bound together by the agreeable bands of love and affection, and are, as it were, drawn to one common centre of mutual good offices.

But though the necessary assistance should not be afforded from such generous and disinterested motives, though among the different members of the society there should be no mutual love and affection, the society, though less happy and agreeable, will not necessarily be dissolved. Society may subsist among different men, as among different merchants, from a sense of its utility, without any mutual love or affection; and though no man in it should owe any obligation, or be bound in gratitude to any other, it may still be upheld by a mercenary exchange of good offices according to an agreed valuation
.”

[TMS II.ii.3.1-2; 1872 ed. Kessinger Rare Reprints, pp 78-9;]

These remarkable, and not often noted, passages are the root of Adam Smith ideas about societies. Our need for the ‘assistance of others’ is universal, ever present, and unavoidable, no matter the size of our society or the age within which its acquires its means of subsistence.

Of course, from the vantage of the 21st century, our dependence on others is far greater that it was for the likes of Ghengis Khan in the 12th century – he was unaffected by the tribes of North America, Australia, and Western Europe – but in the global economy, developed since the 15th century onwards, ever wider and ever deeper circles of sentiment and influence have developed along the inter-twined influences of both “the agreeable bands of love and affection … drawn to one common centre of mutual good offices” and by “by a mercenary exchange of good offices according to an agreed valuation”.

It is the characteristic of commercial economies that their supply chains can operate without persons knowing much or anything about players two or a few links further on and back (and beside them) in any inter-locked supply chains that make up our mode of susbistence.

It is also not the case that the “sympathy that Adam Smith thought would condition market relations breaks down when producer and consumer are separated by thousands of miles and multiple commodity chain links.” It is the “a mercenary exchange of good offices according to an agreed valuation” that conveys the necessary information for markets to work.

By ‘good offices’ Smith means people exchanging services to each other, not necessarily confined to commercial transactions – there are no limits to exchange relations in Smith’s world, whether it is the development of language and conversation (think of today’s Internet), of political and religious ideas, of literature and arts, of information and knowledge and, in practice, almost all human activities.

The separation of consumers from producers, which almost always has been the case since individuals began to transact with relative strangers in the early, larger bands and then with complete strangers in other bands, and finally tribes and then ‘nations’, has always been the basic facility that ‘mercenary exchange’ made possible.

Exchanging wool for pewter in medieval Europe did not require intimate or any knowledge of who provided the merchants with the wool or the merchants with the pewter. The early humans who received stone ‘Venus’ figurines in exchange for decorative beads, say, most certainly did not know the members of a supply chain stretching hundreds of miles from where the stone originated.

Mike Veseth makes the interesting point that wine consumers are interested in “where wines come from, who made them and how”. This, of course, is the marketing message of ‘Fair Trade’ suppliers, who justify higher prices for wine because the original producers are in relative poverty and Fair Trade “provides this information in a way that informs, educates and potentially produces social and economic change”.

This is not an aberration of how markets work (always remember, exchange by markets is the fastest information processing method created by human societies), it is how any student of markets would expect them to work.

All along all supply chains, people make decisions to enhance their performance in their particular bit of it under the motivation of reducing their costs to enhance their supply capacity and increase or maintain their share of the profits.

When the spice trade showed such fantastic profits in medieval Europe, several seafaring nations competed (often bloodily) to identify the sources of spice and transport it back to Europe to sell at mark-ups that began at several thousand per cent.

Globalisation is the cause of well-meaning Fair Trade sympathies, not the enemy of them. The vast charitable NGOs conform to what Adam Smith expected from the ‘mercenary exchange of good offices’. He preferred, but did not expect in mid-18th-century Britain, that:

“Where the necessary assistance is reciprocally afforded from love, from gratitude, from friendship, and esteem, the society flourishes and is happy.”

But ‘should’ those conditions did not obtain, in their absence:

“Society may subsist among different men, as among different merchants, from a sense of its utility, without any mutual love or affection; and though no man in it should owe any obligation, or be bound in gratitude to any other, it may still be upheld by a mercenary exchange of good offices according to an agreed valuation.”

Mike Veseth, and Fair Traders, are not bucking the market, nor finding a new form of trade. They are finding another way, using the price mechanism, to enrich the “agreed valuation” for “the mercenary exchange of good offices”.

Indeed, it remains true still that the majority of consumers buying ‘fair trade’ products need to know nothing about the original suppliers or the others between them and the local supermarket, to complete their transactions to enjoy their wine. That is the power of global branding, which only globalisation makes possible.

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Thursday, January 01, 2009

Markets and Morals

Mike Masnick writes on the market in techdirt (HERE):

Free Market Capitalism, Moral Character And Doing Good All Work Hand In Hand” - from the can-we-get-over-this-already? Dept."

“I've never quite understood the complaints of some that free market capitalism somehow goes against morality or good deeds. As we've discussed in the past, moral questions shouldn't even come up at all in scenarios where everyone is better off. Moral questions only arise in scenarios where some are worse off and some are better off, and a decision needs to be made about who is worse off and who is better off. The nice thing about free market capitalism is that it tends to increase the overall pie, allowing a much larger number of people to be better off, and tends to do so in a more efficient manner than other systems…

… But, still, there are some who suddenly question whether or not the free market takes away a moral backbone -- but the only situations in which that would clearly be true are in cases of either outright fraud, or where you're dealing with a zero-sum game. In an economy that has the potential for growth, then one should encourage more growth to increase opportunities for everyone. There may be additional moral questions later concerning overall allocation, but increasing the wider opportunity, which is exactly what free market capitalism does, seems ridiculous to question.

In the end, it seems that some have this odd guilt associated with money -- as if because one person has made a lot of it that it somehow takes away from others. That's simply not true. Adam Smith, who wrote the original book on free market capitalism, The Wealth of Nations, only did so after first writing a book on morality, called The Theory of Moral Sentiment. Free market economics and morality go hand in hand. To think that they're mutually exclusive shows both a misunderstanding of morality and economics
.”

Comment
I quoted from the piece because it encapsulates ideas that are going the rounds at present, though the confusion about ‘profit’ is of long lineage.

Wealth Of Nations is not about “free market capitalism”, except to those who have never read it.

It is critique of an 18th-century state-managed commercial society, governed by major landowners, and provides an historical analysis of how a growing commercial economy operates in that milieu.

The separate dates of their publication, Moral Sentiments, 1759, and Wealth of Nations, 1776, mislead many commentators, who are unaware that both of Smith’s books were based on his lectures on ‘Ethics’, ‘Rhetoric’ and ‘Jurisprudence’ to students at Glasgow University in the years 1751-64 (and previously mainly to University of Edinburgh students, off-campus in a winter series of public lectures from 1748-51).

Their main ideas were developed and delivered together (and definitely “go hand in hand”) to the same students each session [Adam Smith, Lectures in Jurisprudence, 1762-3, including ‘Early Draft of Wealth Of Nations’, 1763; Adam Smith, Lectures in Rhetoric and Belles Lettres 1763, Oxford University Press/ Liberty Fund].

Adam Smith wrote about how markets worked and was not confined to only writing about ‘free markets’. In fact, he criticized the French Physiocrats, whose economic models required and assumed ‘a state of perfect liberty’ (which nowhere existed, and certainly didn’t exist in absolutist France in the 1760s):

Mr. Quesnai, who was himself a physician, and a very speculative physician, seems to have entertained a notion of the same kind concerning the political body, and to have imagined that it would thrive and prosper only under a certain precise regimen, the exact regimen of perfect liberty and perfect justice. He seems not to have considered that, in the political body, the natural effort which every man is continually making to better his own condition is a principle of preservation capable of preventing and correcting, in many respects, the bad effects of a political œconomy, in some degree, both partial and oppressive. Such a political œconomy, though it no doubt retards more or less, is not always capable of stopping altogether the natural progress of a nation towards wealth and prosperity, and still less of making it go backwards. If a nation could not prosper without the enjoyment of perfect liberty and perfect justice, there is not in the world a nation which could ever have prospered. In the political body, however, the wisdom of nature has fortunately made ample provision for remedying many of the bad effects of the folly and injustice of man, in the same manner as it has done in the natural body for remedying those of his sloth and intemperance.” [WN IV.ix.28: p 674; Canaan, ed 1937, Random House, p 638]

Smith did not write a treatise on a free-market economy; he did write on human behaviour – his theory of moral sentiments – but he had no illusions about the ‘perfectibility’ of men or society. He was no ideologue; no man with a mission to solve all problems.

He wrote frankly about ‘merchants and manufacturers’ (and the need never to legislate in their interests without the most careful scrutiny of their proposals), and about the limitations of the majority of the population (the labourers and their families), for as long as they remained uneducated (‘unless government take some pains to prevent it’ WN V.i.f.50: p 782), and about the landowners, who owned much and ran everything, and ‘like all other men’ (this part is often overlooked by those who quote the sentence), ‘love to reap where they never sowed’ [WN I.vi.8: p 67; Canaan ed. 1937 p 49, Random House].

Adam Smith was not writing about ‘free market capitalism’ and nothing that has happened to the governance and political economy of all societies, since his time, suggests that it would be worthwhile to pontificate on moral sentiments and modern markets as if something fundamental had changed.

People are no more nor less ‘moral’ than in Smith’s day (or in any other previous age or place) and economies are no ‘freer’ than they were in the 18th century.
If anything the State has grown from powerful governments into bigger and more powerful Governments, and they are susceptible, as they ever were, to the blandishments, false theories, and blatant sectional interests of powerful legislators and those who influence them.

That the discourse of public life is dominated by ideological assaults on the idea of freer markets, and the supposed blessings of ‘regulation’ by bureaucracies, instead of by the justice system, is a symptom of the misjudged tendency to blame markets, which are not free, for the failings from political interventions that are not capable.

Throwing good money after bad is a weakness of poor management; ever tighter regulation to cover the deficiencies of regulations that don’t work as intended is congenital to micro-regulators.

In business markets, incompetence is terminated by losses; in political regulation, incompetence is cushioned by the public purse.

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Saturday, December 27, 2008

A Debate 'Rages' on Modern Economics

Richard Murphy Blogs at Tax Research UK HERE:

Readers are recommended to follow the link and see whether you agree with Richard Murphy that economics is not a science or with his protagonist, Tim Worstall, that Richard is striking at straw men and missing the point (that his caricature of modern economics is empty of relevant content). Richard keeps claiming that he has ‘won’ and that Tim has ‘lost’, though Tim keeps coming back with credible arguments in support of his propositions and in opposition to Richard’s. At which point Richard unilaterally called the debate off.

Now, I have an interest in this ‘debate’, as regular readers would note, in that I am concerned at the obsession of modern economics of understanding their models rather than the real economy. I am not too fond of notions of general equilibrium either. But modern economics has developed some useful tools to aid policy making, a point tellingly made by Tim, and studiously avoided by Richard.

There is an extensive comments section between Richard and Tim, which must be read as it elaborates many of the themes raised in the debate, most of them revealing what is at stake.

Richard seems to be firmly convinced by the Green arguments about man-made climate catastrophe and the prediction that the world is collapsing from over-consumption by the richer economies (which leaves the poorer economies future somewhat bleak). Richard doesn’t say anything about what he would do about that appalling problem, other than it’s all the fault of ‘neo-liberals’, a shadowy group which everybody can believe in if it is repeated often enough (replacing the Jews as the scapegoats of the last big depression in the 1930s?).

What was an intelligent debate seems to have slid into wild accusations towards the end; it all going one way in fact.

As a Smithian economist, I take the view that human kind is unlikely to decide about these matters by some sort of scientific agreement. Plans to ‘save’ the world will give the would-be planners comfort, but not much else, and is already this decade’s political title, self-awarded by the Prime Minister, and probably mumbled by Al Gore too.

Of course, ‘activism’ (like sitting on runways, blocking traffic, digging up GM crops, or worse) will happen. But if the ‘remedies’ of the activists are inappropriate, they may well be worse than adjusting to the discomforts of climate change (a less directional prediction to the former title of ‘global warming; it takes in a new ice-age too, and one of them of bound to be right, eventually).

So follow the link and make your own mind up, HERE:

Disclosure: I too am a Fellow of the Adam Smith Institute, but I do not follow a strictly ‘neo-liberal’ agenda, at least as presented by Richard. I favour competitive markets where possible and state intervention where necessary, as Adam Smith did.

In view of Richard's limited view of exchange relations, I recommend that he downloads my paper, "The Prehistory of Bargaining: a multi-disciplinary treatment", from the Home Page of Lost Legacy (in red near the top).

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Friday, December 12, 2008

The Importance of Market Entrepreneurs

Mark Engler, a writer based in New York City, is a senior analyst
with Foreign Policy In Focus and author of How to Rule the World: The Coming Battle Over the Global Economy (Nation Books, 2008), writes in Portland independent media center (HERE):

Adam Smith was not an economist. In the 1750s, when he was a professor
at the University of Glasgow in his native Scotland, Smith served as
the Chair of Moral Philosophy. The designation is telling. The rise of
modern economics departments in universities was a late-nineteenth and
twentieth century phenomenon. Economics in its infancy, characterized
by the pursuits of Smith, Ricardo, John Stuart Mill, and Marx, was not
a matter of graphs and econometric models. It was a broader
investigation into social life, a look at how society structured
labor, production, and exchange. And it concerned itself greatly with
the ethical implications of this structure.

As early as the 1950s, economists began establishing a greater role
for socially accumulated knowledge in mainstream understandings of
growth. During that decade, Nobel-Prize winning economist Robert Solow
argued that advances in knowledge are, in fact, the primary driver of
today's growth. Alperovitz and Daly write, "Solow calculated that
nearly 90 percent of productivity growth in the first half of the
twentieth century (from 1909 to 1949) could only be attributed to
'technological change in the broadest sense.'" This suggestion was a
radical shift away from accounts that stressed the more specific
agency of capitalists and entrepreneurs—or of laborers, for that matter
—in expanding our economy
.”

Comment
On theories of economic growth I agree with Mark Engler and I suggest that Solow, and others, went 'astray' because their models are 'closed' and their aggregated variables are better thought of as open processes, with increasing returns (lowering costs) in their constituent parts (see Alyn Young, Economic Journal, 1928).

Mark Engler's article develops a theme and while I agree with some parts I also find parts of it unconvincing. The discoverers of knowledge – a cumulative process, if passed on – have a more justified claim to the rewards from development because without their crucial role as discoverers, inventors, innovators and educators is more relevant than the “agency of capitalists and entrepreneurs”.

Well, there is a specific historical example of a society that was the most advanced in the world in inventive science and technologically, which also stagnated. I refer to the old Empire of China which by the 15th century was ahead in so many inventions that they are still being catalogued today by enthusiasts for Chinese history.

But over several decades in the 15th century, China fell into stagnation (partly reported by Adam Smith in the 18th century in Wealth Of Nations), and didn’t really recover until the 19th century (after which there was another interregnum under, first the depredations of the western colonial imperial powers and then, in the mid-20th century, the violent failings of the communists.

The missing ingredient was demonstrated convincingly by the turn away from world trade by the Chinese Emperor, whose writ in these matters ran far and wide. The entrepreneurs and merchants turned inwards and away from the exploitation of scientific knowledge, and no progress was made thereafter in inventions, technology or science. China did not advance into a commercial age; if it had the entire history of the world would have been quite different.

As knowledge revolutions broke through and spread across the backward West, especially in that part of Europe left devastated by the fall of the western Roman empire in the 5th century (of which Adam Smith writes a great deal) that had presaged the thousand-year interregnum, or the ‘dark ages’, which began to end in the West, fortuitously just as China was entering its own self-imposed dark ages.

This development, catching up with old China was accompanied by the age of commerce (‘at last’), as Smith described it in his lectures in 1762), the appearance of ‘entrepreneurs’ and ‘commercial’ adventurers, who turned knowledge into innovative products on scales unimaginable ever before also produced funded feedback (economic growth) to boost a continuing scientific and technological advance of all knowledge without precedent.

Knowledge of the configurations of the stars was interesting, but long-distance overseas trade on a regular basis drove the need for both accurate timekeepers for safer navigation from knowing longitude as well as latitude and for accurate charts for safer seamanship, once the ‘secrets’ of discovery gave way to the less dramatic open-seas of regular trade routes. Knowledge is necessary (three cheers to the discoverers!); but not sufficient. What made the difference are the entrepreneurs and the creators of industry.

Markets were not discovered by a scientist; they operated millennia before the science of economics appeared (and their merits are still hotly debated). Scores of ideas are dormant until somebody finds a use for them and somebody markets those uses successfully.

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