Friday, November 30, 2007

Stanford Review Mentions Lost Legacy

Lost legacy is mentioned in the current issue of The Stanford Review (30 November, Vol XXXIX, issue 5 (here):

“A Book Review Saga: ‘Professor David Kennedy Takes on Paul Krugman’ by Paul Craft (Features Editor)

Another comment came from Gavin Kennedy (no relation) who maintains a blog about economic history titled “Adam Smith’s Lost Legacy.” Responding to DeLong’s post and Kennedy’s review, he concludes that Kennedy’s “anti-economist” diagnosis was off the mark. He particularly criticizes Kennedy for mentioning “Adam Smith’s fabled ‘invisible hand’” by claiming that the whole metaphor is not a direct legacy of Smith. He even accuses Kennedy, as DeLong did, of not having ever read Smith. Finally, he concludes that “a historian (should) . . . at least be interested in this . . .” He seems to be playing Kennedy’s own game against him.”

Comment
Lost Legacy is always grateful for mentions, positive or negative, on other publications and Blogs. So thank you Paul Craft and Stanford Review.

From the site statistics for Lost Legacy, I know that the largest percentage of our readers each day live in California. I don't know anything else about them but this fits in with the largest number of visitors each day are in the USA.

My Blog Post in Question (21 October) went as follows:

"Is David Kennedy 'the Stupidist Man Alive'?

There are several comments on economics Blogs on the review of Paul Krugman’s book, ‘The Conscience of a Liberal’ (W. W. Norton, October 2007, $25.95 or $15.57 from Amazon), by David Kennedy (positively no relation!), who is the Donald J. McLachlan Professor of History at Stanford University.

Brad Delong, doyen among economist bloggers (here), reviews Kennedy’s NYT's review without mercy:

‘Stanford's David M. Kennedy reveals that he is a serious contender for the "Stupidest Man Alive".’

"Brad quotes Kennedy’s review of Krugman:

“Paul Krugman is a justly renowned professor of economics and international affairs at Princeton University. His abundant accolades include the John Bates Clark Medal... a distinction... perhaps even more prestigious than... the Nobel.... [Y]et maybe Krugman is not really an economist — at least not according to the definition offered more than a century ago by Francis Amasa Walker, the first president of the American Economic Association, who wrote that laissez-faire “was... used to decide whether a man were an economist at all.” Most modern economists continue to celebrate Walker’s orthodoxy, and behind it, the classical doctrines of Adam Smith, whose fabled “invisible hand” regularly works wonders of production, distribution, innovation and efficiency, provided it is kept free of the meddlesome “nanny state.”... Krugman [is] the anti-economist...”

Brad concludes:

“David Kennedy thus demonstrates that he (a) has never read Adam Smith, and (b) has little acquaintance with modern American economists--who are (like Adam Smith) much more interested in prescribing how the nanny state should meddle to be effective than in protecting the naked market from interference.”

Comment
First, a clarification on my part: I am not familiar with the ‘politics’ of the personalities who populate American academe and this includes where Paul Krugman stands on the continuum of ‘left – right’, ‘classical – neoclassical’ or ‘seriously competent – wildly not so’, and I cannot judge the accuracy of Brad Delong’s assertion, though as it is Brad’s assertion I am inclined to go along with it.

I treat what David Kennedy has written as they stand. That he quotes Francis Amasa Walker (1840 – 1897!) for his criterion of what constitutes and economist in 2007 suggests he is seriously out of touch, and that he associates Adam Smith with laissez faire supports this conclusion.

Adam Smith was not the author of what passes today as ‘classical doctrines’ (an impossibly broad tent covering Malthus, Ricardo and Marx, from among which I would snatch Adam Smith).

The sentence including, “Adam Smith, whose fabled “invisible hand”, gives the game away. David Kennedy, a professor of American history, refers to the ‘fable’ of the invisible hand, but it wasn’t a fable of Adam Smith’s making; for Smith it was merely a handy metaphor when explaining why opening a domestic market to foreign goods for consumption would lead to higher domestic investment, partly by the foreign products competing with domestic products and partly by the risk avoidance of local merchants preferring to invest their capital locally. As the arithmetical whole is the sum of its parts, if local merchants invest locally instead of abroad, domestic capital formation will be higher than otherwise.

For 18th-century readers of Wealth Of Nations (Book IV.ii.9: p456), who were not economists – more likely to be legislators and people who influence them – he summed this process after clearly explaining it by using a common 17th-18th-century literary metaphor of the invisible hand (see Shakespeare’s ‘Macbeth’, Defoe’s ‘Moll Flanders’ or ‘Colonel Jack’, or Voltaire’s Oedipe: 'Tremble, unfortunate King, an invisible hand suspends above your head’; and ‘an invisible hand pushed away my presents’, etc.,).

The fable of the invisible hand has passed through the string of tenuous development, first as a ‘concept’, then as a ‘theory’, and finally, and banally, a ‘paradigm’!

Its origins are located in the environs of 51st Street, Chicago, and which has been propagated all over American academe, via its graduates and the media, until the fable is now regarded as the reality in all expositions of neoclassical general equilibrium theory (after Samuelson and Debreu) and sanctified by Nobel Prize winners from the Bank of Sweden.

I would expect an historian to know this, or at least to be interested in it.

David Kennedy’s review has received attention (scathingly) from ‘Angry Bear’ and Mark Thoma."

Thursday, November 29, 2007

Read the Last Paragraph of Wealth Of Nations

At a meeting of the Tuesday Club in Edinburgh I had occasion to comment on several things the speaker said, which, incidentally, was a most thoughtful and intellectually stimulating analysis – though under the ‘rules’ of the club, they properly remain private to the attendees so as to encourage the most frank of discussions, I referred the participants to the very last paragraph of Wealth Of Nations, in which Adam Smith advised Britain to “endeavour to accommodate her future views and designs to the real mediocrity of her circumstances”.

If only his advice had been followed in the 19th and 20th centuries instead of diverting so much blood and treasure into its second Empire, which went the way of the first. As few people ever read Wealth Of Nations, and thereby miss the last page, I extract it for readers of Lost Legacy:

If it should be found impracticable for Great Britain to draw any considerable augmentation of revenue from any of the resources above mentioned, the only resource which can remain to her, is a diminution of her expense. In the mode of collecting and in that of expending the public revenue, though in both there may be still room for improvement, Great Britain seems to be at least as economical as any of her neighbours. The military establishment which she maintains for her own defence in time of peace, is more moderate than that of any European state, which can pretend to rival her either in wealth or in power. None of these articles, therefore, seem to admit of any considerable reduction of expense. The expense of the peace-establishment of the colonies was, before the commencement of the present disturbances, very considerable, and is an expense which may, and, if no revenue can be drawn from them, ought certainly to be saved altogether. This constant expense in time of peace, though very great, is insignificant in comparison with what the defence of the colonies has cost us in time of war. The last war, which was undertaken altogether on account of the colonies, cost Great Britain, it has already been observed, upwards of ninety millions. The Spanish war of 1739 was principally undertaken on their account; in which, and in the French war that was the consequence of it, Great Britain, spent upwards of forty millions; a great part of which ought justly to be charged to the colonies. In those two wars, the colonies cost Great Britain much more than double the sum which the national debt amounted to before the commencement of the first of them. Had it not been for those wars, that debt might, and probably would by this time, have been completely paid; and had it not been for the colonies, the former of those wars might not, and the latter certainly would not, have been undertaken. It was because the colonies were supposed to be provinces of the British Empire, that this expense was laid out upon them. But countries which contribute neither revenue nor military force towards the support of the empire, cannot be considered as provinces. They may, perhaps, be considered as appendages, as a sort of splendid and shewy equipage of the empire. But if the empire can no longer support the expense of keeping up this equipage, it ought certainly to lay it down; and if it cannot raise its revenue in proportion to its expense, it ought at least to accommodate its expense to its revenue. If the colonies, notwithstanding their refusal to submit to British taxes, are still to be considered as provinces of the British empire, their defence, in some future war, may cost Great Britain as great an expense as it ever has done in any former war. The rulers of Great Britain have, for more than a century past, amused the people with the imagination that they possessed a great empire on the west side of the Atlantic. This empire, however, has hitherto existed in imagination only. It has hitherto been, not an empire, but the project of an empire; not a gold mine, but the project of a gold mine; a project which has cost, which continues to cost, and which, if pursued in the same way as it has been hitherto, is likely to cost, immense expense, without being likely to bring any profit; for the effects of the monopoly of the colony trade, it has been shewn, are to the great body of the people, mere loss instead of profit. It is surely now time that our rulers should either realize this golden dream, in which they have been indulging themselves, perhaps, as well as the people; or that they should awake from it themselves, and endeavour to awaken the people. If the project cannot be completed, it ought to be given up. If any of the provinces of the British empire cannot be made to contribute towards the support of the whole empire, it is surely time that Great Britain should free herself from the expense of defending those provinces in time of war, and of supporting any part of their civil or military establishment in time of peace; and endeavour to accommodate her future views and designs to the real mediocrity of her circumstances.” (WN V.iii. 92: pp 946-7)

Setting the Record Straight

The Right Honourable Dr. James Gordon Brown, Prime Minister, has been described on Lost Legacy several times as having been born in Kirkcaldy, as was Adam Smith, but a correspondent writes to me correcting this as an error.

Apparently, Gordon Brown was born in Glasgow (20 February 1951) and moved to Kirkcaldy with his family in 1955, from whence he continued in residence in what is now his constituency. He attended Kirkcaldy Scool, the predecessor of which was attended by Adam Smith in the 18th century.

Apologies. Lost Legacy will always corrects errors of fact whenever it is appraised of them.

Wednesday, November 28, 2007

Eugene McCarraher's Polemic Against Deidre McCloskey and Adam Smith

For a Christian, Eugene McCarraher (I know, it takes all sorts …), a professor of humanities and director of graduate liberal studies at Villanova University, writes a very unchristian (unless he belongs to a new Taliban wing of Christianity) review of Deirdre McCloskey’s, The Bourgeois Virtues: Ethics for an Age of Commerce (University of Chicago Press).

I confess I have not yet read her book and Eugene McCarraher has, which gives him a head start, but I am not writing to defend Deidre McCloskey’s work – she can look after herself from what I have read of her –but I think Eugene goes over the top in his blitzkrieg assault on his version of Deidre’s ideas. At best, he could be right that the book is badly written and he has a duty to say so, but he has no duty (other than under the protection of free speech) to write in the manner he did about sets of ideas as if they are those of the devil incarnate.

Here is what Eugene McCarraher, in ‘Books and Culture: a Christian review’(!) (here) writes under the title of: ‘Break on Through the Other Side: Deirdre McCloskey's Bobo Theodicy’: says of Deirdre McCloskey’s views on Adam Smith:

In the present volume, she only updates the obfuscations of Adam Smith, whose scholarly rehabilitation over the last generation has been a case study in cultural politics. Like many recent students of Smith, McCloskey proudly reminds us that he was a moral philosopher, not a modern, professionalized "economist." Casting Smith as a "radical egalitarian," ardently devoted to the poor and assiduous, McCloskey holds up "sympathy" and "benevolence" as the strongest digits of that "invisible hand" at work crafting a "trusting society."

Comment
Adam Smith’s concepts of ‘sympathy’ and ‘benevolence’, I would have thought, though we learn something new everyday, would appeal, at least to the extent of a sympathetic hearing, to any normally balanced Christian and would not be mocked.

That they are related to Smith’s metaphor of ‘an invisible hand’ is news to me. I note that this is Wednesday and it may have been true on Tuesday but this is another day so, perhaps, it is no longer true. Professor Eugene McCarraher’s graduate students in humanities and liberal studies may be confused by daily re-inventions of well-established meanings to 18th century texts.

This is nonsense. Smith's "sympathy" never extended very far beyond ambitious tradesmen and artisans. For the poor and the laborers, Smith recommended hunger as a form of moral education. When corn merchants raise prices, he sagely opined in The Wealth of Nations, they "put the inferior rank of people upon thrift and good management." This early example of compassionate conservatism partakes of a larger indifference to empirical reality. If you know anything about slavery or parliamentary enclosure, you'll know that Smith's magnum opus exhibits his gargantuan historical amnesia. In 1,000 pages, Smith barely mentions the dependence of English manufacturing on American slavery, or the dreary tale of dispossession in the English countryside. With his smoke and mirrors about "natural liberty," Smith inaugurated what E. P. Thompson would later memorably call "the enormous condescension of posterity." (For greater honesty about the ravages of enclosure and "natural liberty," read Smith's near-contemporary James Steuart, whom McCloskey doesn't even mention.)”

Comment
Adam Smith’s concepts of human sympathy were not ‘nonsense’, nor were David Hume’s. They were not confined to ‘ambitious tradesmen and artisans’. He wasn’t too fond of scheming and clamouring ‘merchants and manufacturers’, many of whom were ‘tradesmen and artisans’, no doubt ‘ambitious’ to ‘conspire’ with others to raise prices by ‘narrowing the market’. I take it that Eugene McCarraher has read Adam Smith’s books; he should have noticed the central themes of his texts because he might wish to pass that basic requirement onto the ‘graduate students’ he ‘directs’.

Aside from his talents in the art of historical camouflage, Smith was a prophet of what Peter Sloterdijk has dubbed "cynical reason": "I know what I'm doing is wrong, but I'll do it anyway." In The Theory of Moral Sentiments (1759), which admirers fondly hold up as evidence of their hero's thoughtful probity, Smith praised the civilizing effects of avarice. Fully aware of the folly of pursuing riches—"people ruin themselves," he appeared to scold, "laying out money on trinkets of frivolous utility"—Smith mused nonetheless that "it is well that nature imposes upon us in this manner." "This deception," he continued, "rouses and keeps in continual motion the industry of mankind." That's a pretty clear wink at the duplicity of desire, and despite what they'll say at the Liberty Fund, it really isn't all that far from Bernard Mandeville's more scandalous (and more engaging) celebration of hedonism in The Fable of the Bees. Long before the economist of fashion Paul Nystrom coined the phrase, Smith was pointing to a "philosophy of futility" as the moral economy of capitalism.”

Comment
The allusion to ‘Peter Sloterdijk’s cynical reason’ escapes me. As does Eugene McCarraher’s misreading of Adam Smith’s ‘civilizing effects of avarice’.

Smith was aware of the ‘folly’ of pursuing riches and he cited this as one of the factors that undermined feudal governance (blessed as it was at the time by Eugene McCarraher’s forbears in Christian ethics). These fractious feudal lords were ever at war with neighbours, used violence to contain their serfs (their ‘slaves’ Smith called them), and were oppressive in the extreme. However, they were tempted to acquire ‘trinkets, baubles’ and such like by diverting surplus produce from their domains to the purchase of these ‘useless’ artefacts, meanwhile keeping their peasants on subsistence incomes.

But unknown to them, they were undermining the base of their own power because to acquire these products from nearby ‘towns’, which acquired them from trade with foreign parts of Europe, they had to divert more and more of their annual produce away from paying their retainers, armed force and people who worked their lands, which put paid to their ability to cause strife (and not a little rapine) in the rest of England.

Adam Smith points out that while the objects of their avarice were ‘useless’ (he had very firm ideas on frugality as opposed to prodigality), they nevertheless were the products of the employment of artisans and labourers. In fact he contrasts the dismissal of a thousand feudal retainers with the employment elsewhere of thousands of manufacturing labourers; the former representing the dénouement of feudalism, the latter the beginning of the commercial age of man.

This transformation of feudal society is summed by Eugene McCarraher as ‘a pretty clear wink at the duplicity of desire’! Is Eugene sympathetic for the feudal lords and barons? Would he prefer it to have continued? Was the Reformation a ‘bad’ event?

For Adam Smith it had nothing to do with regret for an age that was passing. The purveyors of selfish avarice had no idea what they were doing (as is often the case in social evolution). But the expanding demand for the trinkets generated demand for the employment of labourers who could produce them, transport them, and distribute them to final customers. No employment meant destitution.

This consequence put poor men to work and fed their families. This was a social benefit. Just as the building of stone churches, cathedrals, and castles created work for labouring men and income for their families, and the acquisitive lust for works of arts – painting, statues, religious artefacts – created work for the artists and artisans over the centuries where there was not much work around, except backbreaking labour in the fields. All this Eugene misses in his diatribe against Deirdre McCloskey and his cheap shots at Adam Smith.

Eugene writes: 'Smith was pointing to a "philosophy of futility" as the moral economy of capitalism’. That some of the initial steps to the ‘age of commerce’ were driven by the silly avarice of a few idle landlords in no way sullies the spread of commerce as a superior creator of ‘opulence’ on a scale unknown in human history. For all the millennia that preceded the 18th century the lot of the poor labourers and their families was a monotonous repetition of unchanging per capita income at or below the level of subsistence. The hewers of the products of land did just that, their heads filled with credulous superstitious nonsense and their aspirations brutalised by the brute course of the events that afflicted their short lives.

Knowledge necessarily came from philosophers who came from within those who lived off the surplus output produced by the labouring majority. The social evolution from the hunter-gathering mode of subsistence through the ages of shepherding, farming and commerce are the themes of Adam Smith’s essay on the History of Astronomy, his Essay on Languages (1761), his Moral Sentiments (1759), his Lectures on Jurisprudence (1762-3), his Lectures on Rhetoric and Belles Lettres (1763) and his Wealth Of Nations (1776).

Adam Smith did not create commerce, or ‘capitalism’ (a 19th century phenomenon, unknown to Smith); he observed and tried to understand what was happening to ensure that for the first time in human history, per capita incomes for all of those in society, not just the rich few with the rest on subsistence only, were rising and continued to rise.

How human societies have managed this process, how they used the vast surplus resources for good or ill, or how they resolve the perennial problems of human life, are not subjects that Adam Smith commented upon. He was a humble philosopher, not a partisan.

When and if Eugene McCarraher reads Adam Smith’s whole legacy he may wish to reflect on how different it is from his somewhat limited idea of it as represented in his review.

Smith did, however, send a message to Eugene McCarraher (don’t ask me how – perhaps it is an example that God’s works are a ‘wonder to behold?). He’ll find it in Moral Sentiments, in Book IV, chapter ii, paragraph 2.12 to 18, pages 231-34.

Monday, November 26, 2007

Ayn Rand and Adam Smith

Mark Mills in SharkAttack (‘a blog show casing the musings of Mark Mills’) here writes:

‘You don’t need to be selfish to believe in capitalism"

Klein suggests that Rand is merely reproducing the ideas of Adam Smith. The reality is very different. The difference between these two thinkers shows just how little a market economy has to do with amorality. Both Smith and Rand explore how humanity can benefit from the actions of self interest individuals but Rand takes this principal much further. Smith is concerned principally with commerce and industry (his great book is called ‘the wealth of nations’), while Rand makes no effort to set a limit on self interest. Smith’s ‘Theory of moral sentiments’ is a hymn to the value of charity. By contrast, characters in Rand’s books that show generosity are scorned. To see the value of wealth accumulation as a driver of wealth creation does not require you to give up on the idea that in much of life concern for others is a great and noble virtue.

One thing that Klein does not seem to get is that there is a distinction between self-interest and selfishness. It is quite possible to do something that makes you better off but which does no one else any harm (and in fact may be benefiting them). To my way of thinking, this is not selfishness because that requires you to be causing harm to others. This is no semantic difference, it is key to how operates in practice. While self-interest is rewarded, there are laws to prevent selfish behaviour such as lying, stealing, bribery, breaking contracts and using violence. For the market to work there must be legally enforceable limits to the harm people can do to each others. Without them you will have anarchy (or Yeltsin’s Russia as it is otherwise known). This idea was not alien to Smith who imbibed against the power of monopolies, while Rand would doubtless have seen the competition commission as an undue restriction on the strong for the benefit of the weak.

At the root of the different viewpoints of Smith and Rand are fundamentally different views of morality itself. Rand’s philosophy simply turns the world on its head and makes virtue into a vice. Smith is attempting something much more complicated, to set how to create a good society composed of people who are not necessarily good. If we look closely at his famous saying that ‘it is not for the benefit of society that ‘It is not from the benevolence of the butcher the brewer, or the baker that we expect our dinner, but from their regard to their own interest. We address ourselves, not to their humanity, but to their self-love, and never talk to them of our own necessities, but of their advantages.’ We see not a celebration of self interest but a statement of how Smith believed things were. Smith might wish us to be entirely virtuous but he knows we’re not. He understood that to try to build a socialist utopia on such shaky foundations was futile and we would be better off trying to turn mans vices into virtues through the market.

To be a free marketeer a la Adam Smith is miles away from being a cold hearted, Randian sociopath. Trying to win an argument by claiming that your opponents are greedy rather than misguided is low and even Naomi Klein should know better.”

Comment
I know nothing about Naomi Klein or Mark Mills, so I cannot comment on their ‘quarrel’. I do know about Ayn Rand and Adam Smith, though it is many years since I read ‘Atlas Shrugged’ and her shorter philosophical books (The Virtue of Selfishness', 'Capitalism the Unknown Ideal', The New Left', etc.,) which I still have in my library in France from 47 years ago. I recently watched some video’s of talks Ayn Rand gave to a class of students on U-Tube. Because she spoke well, and delivered a very clear philosophical theme, I am sure she won converts to her philosophy. She was a remarkable person.

But she had little in common with Adam Smith, and if Naomi Klein thinks differently then she has not studied either Ayn Rand or Adam Smith very closely. Nor for that matter may Mark Mills have studied Adam Smith closely.

Theory of Moral Sentiments is not a hymn to ‘charity’. It’s about the moral social harmony of society, not from people loving each and everybody else, but from their anonymous dependence on each other, most of whom they never know of, nor need to be concerned about two or more links along the chain of connections among them.

Whereas family connections are framed in social bonds among the members, with diminishing intensity of the bonds as friends and then acquaintances are considered, finally diminishing to zero as the vast world of strangers comes into contact. But our market connections continue productively whether we act from love or indifference and anonymity, if there is a ‘mercenary exchange of good offices’ between us, and we breach no laws and cause no harm.

Going to the extreme of selfishness (‘greed is good’) is neither necessary nor appropriate. Absolute independence is from long-gone past ages of mankind in which self-sufficiency was a virtue, perfect equality ruled, and everybody was poor to the same degree (and life spans were shorter).

Commercial society changed all that.

Absolute dependence of all on everybody else is today’s virtue (Rousseau was wrong!), inequality is its price and everybody is ‘rich’ to different degrees (the poor in the rich countries are incomparably better off materially than the poor in any previous societies), and life spans are longer.

Work in Progress: "Adam Smith: the moral philosopher and his political economy"

I am working on the editor's comments on 'Adam Smith: the moral philosopher and his politcal economy' for Plagrave Macmillan.

The main problem is that the publisher wants a maximum of 100,000 words and my current count is 128,000. This means going through every page and taking out wordage, which is very painful as it affects some of the style, but also the substance. I am at Chapter 2 and have 'lost' all of 500 words! 12 chapters to go...

Perhaps I will get more ruthless as I get used to killing old friends.

Anybody with any advice is most welcome to share it with me.

Saturday, November 24, 2007

Where Ayn Rand Went Wrong

As if on cue minutes after the previous post on self interest and selfishness, David Mesaaz, posts on Digg (a service I still do not understand its purpose), a complete understanding of what Adam Smith advocated and how different that is from what Ayn Rand was on about in her ‘Atlas Shrugged’ (here):

'Atlas Shrugged' – 50 years later Ayn Rand
Adam Smith's self-interest never reaches the Randian selfishness that ignores the interest of others. In Smith's mind, an individual's goals cannot be fully achieved in business unless he appeals to the needs of others. Echoed by Ludwig von Mises. Wealth can be acquired only by serving the consumers."

George Stigler Did Not Understand Adam Smith on Self Interest

David Hoopes criticises an ‘award-winning paper from the Academy of Management Review (Ferraro, F., Pfeffer, J., and Sutton, R.I., “Economics Language and Assumptions: How Theory Can Become Self-Fulfilling”)’ in the Blog: Organisations and Markets here.

The award winning article says: “If people are relentless in the pursuit of their own self-interest and equally relentless in their lack of concern for others’ interests. . . .” What? Where did that second part come in?

I added a comment on the Organisation and Markets' Blog:

If people are misled that economists assert 'relentless self interest' (in its extreme the 'greed is good' perversion) we have George Stigler to thank (Wealth Of Nations 'is a stupendous palace erected upon the granite of self-interest').

It is a misreading of that famous passage about the 'butcher, the baker, and the brewer' (WN I.ii.9: p 27). Smith specifically enjoins you to address yourself 'not to our own necesities, but of their advantages'.

In bargaining that is what we must do: address the other party's self-interest, not our own. If we both relentlessly address own interests, we would never agree to a deal. We must mediate our self interest by taking account of the other party's self interests.


I discuss the subject of of Adam Smith's actual views on self interestin more detail in Chapters 22-24 of Adam Smith's Lost Legacy (2005: Palgrave Macmillan).

Friday, November 23, 2007

Lost Legacy Quoted no 4

Over at Economist’s View (here)
Mark Thoma’s leading economics Blog, (Oregon) a piece is picked up from Thursday’s Lost Legacy:

"The Theory of Moral Neuroscience"

Adam Smith's Lost Legacy says this discussion of how neuroscience is confirming the role of empathy in human sociality and morality is "worth a look":

The Theory of Moral Neuroscience, by Ronald Bailey, Reason Online.

It’s great to be noticed in Blog land. Thanks!

Adam Smith's Relatively Large Agenda for Government

La Caixa, Economic Research Dept, of Fxstreet.com here asks, ‘What's to be done with Government?’

As in any other scientific discipline, economics continues to discover the limitations of earlier ideas. It is also learning what conclusions of the past continue to be valid. In any case, it must be recognized that many of the matters of economic policy being debated today were already controversial more than 200 years ago when the science of economics was born. These comings and goings reveal the difficulties that exist in extracting firm conclusions about matters subject to many influences and perceived from many different points of view. One of the most recurring themes thinkers in economic science have dealt with is the role of Government in the economy, a matter central to the organization of society.

The result is not greatly stimulating. Mercantilists believed that the government generally benefited the economy, at least when it supported domestic production intended for export. Adam Smith’s doctrine then pointed to the damage the Government’s action was capable of inflicting on the free operation of the market. Keynesians considered that the government could contribute to improving economic results and that intervention was a good thing. «Public choice» economists are convinced that the State can often ruin things. Those in favour of «rational expectations» believe that often economic policy is something of an illusion and that it cannot do much to change reality.


Comment
A somewhat truncated summary of the history of economic ideas that implies through gross simplification misleading ideas of what the protagonists were advocating.

Mercantile political economists (‘mercantalism’ was word invented in Germany and was not known in Adam Smith’s days) were not in favour of government intervention in any sense similar to what that concept means today. If anything, government intervention in the economy was even more hands-off than it is today.

What some ‘merchants and manufacturers’ wanted from legislators was legal enforcement of a domestic monopoly to prevent competition or to impose tariff costs from foreign traders. They preferred having a clear run at export markets. Beyond that they wanted to be left alone to run their businesses. Theirs was a ‘police’ operation, if you like, in their commercial favour.

Aside from the merchants and manufacturers, who were closest to the action of lobbying, influencing and ‘persuading’ gullible legislators and those who influenced them, there were intellectuals writing pamphlets and books on the higher purposes of the government’s role, linking national interests, reasons of state and the balance of trade to national prosperity. How connected the two forces were is another matter. The works of the latter have survived intact and may have greater influence on our perceptions than the confidential lobbying of the merchants and manufacturers seeking favours in pursuit of their self interests.

Adam Smith’s doctrine then pointed to the damage the Government’s action was capable of inflicting on the free operation of the market.’

Comment
The slip from what Adam Smith was writing in specific reference to the mercantile policies of the government (protection, bounties, tariffs, wars and colonies) to a general assumption that he opposed all government intervention is as easy to make as it needs to be qualified.

He did not oppose all government intervention by any means, though he did not conceive that government spending would rise to be such a high proportion of GDP. But it is wrong assume that he favoured a small state sector. Within the constraints of 18th century economies, he favoured quite a high amount of government expenditure, and if the full extent of his programme had been followed it would have amounted to sizeable government sector.

Defence, justice, public works and institutions, and the ‘dignity of the sovereign’ was a formidable agenda, especially if his proposals for education (‘a little school in every parish’), and the treatment of ‘noxious diseases’ were costed. In addition, he favoured government regulations of the banking system, interest rates, bank reserves, the stamping of products regarding quality, the post office, licences, and the patent system. The programme of public works need in Britain – thousands of miles of usable roads, pavements and street lighting in towns, harbours, canals and water supplies – amounted to large-scale public budget over many years.

Of course, he cautioned against allowing the government to attempt the impossible, such as directing how merchants and manufacturers should invest their scarce capital. Unfortunately, the free market cannot be left alone to pursue its self interest without any concern of the government. There was too much temptation to resort to monopoly, narrowing of the market, raising prices and protectionism.

Thursday, November 22, 2007

Worth A Look

Ronald Bailey reports on The Theory of Moral Neuroscience in Reason Online (free minds, free markets) and reports on recent research showing that ‘Modern brain science is confirming an 18th century philosopher's moral theories’ (2 November).

He quotes from Theory of Moral Snetiments:

"As we have no immediate experience of what other men feel, we can form no idea of the manner in which they are affected, but by conceiving what we ourselves should feel in the like situation," observed British philosopher and economist Adam Smith in the first chapter of his magisterial The Theory of Moral Sentiment 1759):

"Whatever is the passion which arises from any object in the person principally concerned, an analogous emotion springs up, at the thought of his situation, in the breast of every attentive spectator." Smith's argument is that our ability to empathize with others is at the root of our morality.’ [TMS I.1: p 9 and TMS I.i.4: p 10]

‘[These] findings again buttress Adam Smith's insight from more than two centuries ago that empathy works to prompt us to help our neighbors but attenuates with social distance. "That we should be but little interested, therefore, in the fortune of those whom we can neither serve nor hurt, and who are in every respect so very remote from us, seems wisely ordered by Nature," writes Smith. Wisely ordered or not, modern neuroscience is showing that Nature has so ordered our moral intuitions.’ [TMS III.3.9: p 140]

Comment
The recent science and the links to Adam Smith’s Moral Sentiments are worth a look here. (I’ve added in the details of the references).

Wednesday, November 21, 2007

Jedediah Purdy on the Invisible Hand (no 374)

Jedediah Purdy writes: Intellectual Climate Change: Preventing environmental disaster is just the latest of many supposedly, on Guardian Unlimited, 20 November, here.

Today's economic premise, made cliché in Adam Smith's "invisible hand", is that individual self-interest adds up to public interest, and when this doesn't work out, politics can step in to fix the imbalance. The classic imbalance is what economists call externalities, effects of your actions on others that you can ignore, such as the air pollution your car emits. And the classic fix is environmental regulation that re-sets the ground rules of the market to align personal and public interest.”

Comment
Jedediah Purdy brings Adam Smith into his article: ‘Today's economic premise, made cliché in Adam Smith's "invisible hand" ’, but unfortunately it may be ‘today’s cliché', but it had precious little to do with Adam Smith. He didn’t put forward a theory, a concept or a paradigm about the invisible hand doing all that is implied in its modern use.

It was a metaphor, specifically for risk avoidance, which Adam Smith used in Book IV, which was his tough critique of mercantile political economy, not his analysis of how markets work in Books I and II of Wealth Of Nations, which did not mention anything about disembodied hands, invisible or otherwise.

Even when Jedediah Purdy spots the fallacy – ‘when this doesn't work out, politics can step in to fix the imbalance’ – he doesn’t ask the obvious: ‘what happened to this miraculous invisible hand attributed to Adam Smith; is it there or is it not?’

Of course, this has nothing to do with Adam Smith because he never gave the metaphor this role. Indeed, in Books I and II, when discussing how markets work he not only made no claims that individual self-interest ‘adds up to public interest’, but in these two books he give 51 examples of where self-interested individuals damaged the public interest, the exact opposite, but not one example of where he even mentions the invisible hand.

A commentator on his Blog writes: "Today's economic premise, made cliché in Adam Smith's "invisible hand" ’.

‘Ah yes! Knowing that 18th Century Adam was the first one to come up with that cliché is educating indeed
.’

Comment
Adam Smith did not even come with this modern cliché, never mind being the ‘first one’ to use it. It was a well-known metaphor in literature during the 17th and 18th centuries (Shakespeare, Defoe, and Voltaire, among others).

Lost Legacy Mentions Gratefully Acknowledged

Lost Legacy is mentioned on the prestigious Adam Smith Institute Blog Review 423 (20 November) (here) written by Netsmith:

“An interesting view of history, that 200 years ago everyone had their own landed estate.”

It’s the piece I wrote on Monday 19 November on ‘The Strange Claim That in Adam Smith's Day 'The Great Majority Had Landed Estates'!’

Tuesday, November 20, 2007

A Vulgar Interpretation of Adam Smith on Value

An anonymous author Blogs at ‘The GeoChristian’ and in the course of a review of 'For the Beauty of the Earth', by Stephen Bouma-Prediger (who may be the source of the quotation content), they write (here):

The natural world has no intrinsic value or value irrespective of its usefulness to humans; rather, “a thing has value only when and if it serves some direct human use or can be exchanged for something else that has value.” (Adam Smith)”

Comment
This prompted me to post this piece on the Blog:

I think you are confusing Adam Smith’s statements about exchange value (the ratio by which something exchanges for another) with something that may have a value (aesthetic, utility, beauty, symmetry, elegance, or whatever) in itself.

Adam Smith was a moral philospher. His other book, The Theory of Moral Sentiments (1759) would correct your impression of his ideas, which are not often represented well by vulgar modern interpretations by those who write about today’
.

No End to the Economic Benefits of the Division of Labour

Chris Farris writing in The Exercise of Vital Powers (commentary on liberty, politics and economics) Blog (here) muses:

Random thought as I was reading Greenspan’s book. Smith’s fundamental insight was that economic growth occurs with division of labor.

But how much can division of labor can the human mind support? Is there a limit to the complexity we can comprehend, beyond which division of labor ceases to have economic benefit? As we know more and more about less and less we eventually will know everything about nothing
.”

Comment
Amusing thought, but misses the point. I am not into logic philosophy but I suppose there is a name for the logical error of extrapolating from a perceived (even measured) trend to arrive at a nonsense conclusion (and no doubt a reader will tell me what it is called).

The division of labour was certainly an idea (its origins preceded Adam Smith by centuries) of which he made great use of, and also pushed it further in the idea of it being limited by the ‘extent of the market’.

Unfortunately, most readers don’t bother reading past the famous pin-factory example (WN I.i.3: pp 14-15), which was widely known about at the time from Diderot’sEncyclopedia’ and various other publications (see Jean-Louis Peaucelle: ‘Adam Smith’s use of multiple references for his pin-making example’, European Journal of the History of Economic Thought, 13:4, Dec 2006, pp 489-512).

If you read on a little further to page 22-23 of Wealth of Nations, you find Smith’s less-famous example of the effect of the international division of labour and specialization in the fabrication of the common woolen coat worn by day labourers. Taken together, you see why Chris Farris is wrong to worry about ‘knowing everything about nothing’.

The breaking down of some work tasks into their constituent parts reaches a physical limit but by separating out work tasks into specialised processes there is an enormous potential for further increases in productivity (increasing returns) which characterise the commercial mode of subsistence.

Even pin making is now made by one or two plants where in Smith’s days there were hundreds because automation replaced labour in pin-making. Now a few operators manage batches of machines doing all the 18-steps in the original process (but their machines are fabricated in scores of specialised plants located elsewhere, and their inputs are subject to increasing returns in their own right).

The division of labour is not confined artificially to one process in one factory. It is continually being propelled by innovation and adaptation across whole industries, quite separate from each other, that reduce unit costs in as many ways in products, that being incorporated in lower prices alter the processes wherever the products are inputs. Allyn Young (Economic Journal, 1928) described this process as ‘cumulative’ and it characterises modern manufacturing, and makes modern capitalism the productive force that it is.

Knowledge is dispersed, not reduced. The fact that there are four AER journals in place of one is not support for Chris Farris’s error; quite the opposite. Each author knows a great deal about a small specialist area, true, but together all authors know a great deal about more and more, not less and less. And this is only a single journal, admittedly one that specialises in mathematical abstractions about a fantasy state of general equilibrium, but there are thousands and thousands of other scholarly journals, which most people do not have time to read more than the titles of the articles in them. They don’t need to, but they know where to look if they did.

We are not in a state of ignorance; we would be if all the scientific work was absent.

November Lost Legacy Prize Won By Greg Blankenship of the Illinois Policy Institute

What a great deal of good sense Greg Blankenship writes on Adam Smith in the Chicago Daily Observer, 19 November, (here).

This man, writing in the very home of the mythical, make-believe Adam Smith from Chicago, makes an outstanding case for the views of the real Adam Smith, from Kirkcaldy. It’s a pleasure to read.

Greg Blankenship, President of the Illinois Policy Institute, is outright winner of the Adam Smith’s Lost Legacy Prize for November (and a hot candidate for the annual prize too)’.

His piece is entitled: “The Left Mis-Uses Adam Smith to Their Own Purposes” and opens with:

He may be the father of modern economics, or perhaps the father of social science but to call Adam Smith the father of capitalism – as one close colleague puts it – is like calling Sir Isaac Newton the father of gravity. Newton didn’t invent gravity; he just figured it out. Ditto for Smith.”

He continues:

Capitalism was a term coined by Karl Marx to demean liberty and free markets. By labeling free markets as an ideology – rather than an empirical observation (the methodology of the Anglo-Scottish Enlightenment) into what was occurring in Smith’s world – it was hoped that the reality that Smith uncovered could be overthrown and replaced with a new vision of what the world ought to be like in the minds of the people who, of course, would run it.”

He tackles the vexed question of progressive income taxes, in favour of which Adam Smith is often called into evidence for the prosecution by the left, and he takes to task one Ralph Martire, a fellow columnist on the Chicago Daily Observer, for his lumping of Adam Smith’s views about progressive taxation on luxury consumption goods, house rents and the carriage of luxuries.

The tactic hasn’t been lost on fellow travelers of the local sort, either. Recently on this very site Ralph Martire wrote:

That’s not only unfair, it also contravenes sound, capitalist tax policy, as conceived by the father of capitalism, Adam Smith. Smith contended tax burden ought to be progressive in a capitalist economy—i.e. impose a greater burden on the affluent than everyone else, because under capitalism the affluent will always receive a disproportionately greater share of economic growth.”

While Martire is correct that Smith was for progressive taxes, but is ‘disingenuous at best in applying progressivity to income taxes. This is because Adam Smith rejected income taxes as, “absurd and destructive” ’.

Adam Smith continues with examples of the bad effects of progressive income taxes in Wealth Of Nations, Book V Article III, ‘Taxes upon the Wages of Labour’ (pp 864-67). To which Greg Blankenship comments:

Adam Smith’s idea of progressivity was that people who purchase luxury items such as a carriage should pay more in taxes for that purchase than a dirt farmer buying a wagon. Necessities of life should be taxed less than luxury items. Smith also believed that property was better source of taxation and than taxing capital, stock or production. Again, this is totally at odds with Ralph Martire’s vision of tax reform.

‘The real lesson of Adam Smith isn’t in his maxims on taxation or his discussion on public education. The real lesson is Smith’s commitment to natural liberty and that government wasn’t the solution, it was the problem.’

Every reader should read Greg Blankenship’s article in the Chicago Daily Observer (here).

It’s the best thing to have been written about Adam Smith’s real ideas this month (and perhaps a few others too).

Monday, November 19, 2007

Strange Claim That in Adam Smith's Day 'The Great Majority Had Landed Estates'!

Kent Welton writes in Op-Ed News.com (here):‘Enclosure, Capitalism & The "Kiss My Ass" Farm’

He includes this passage:

Nevertheless, the very nature of the "free market" has greatly changed from the days of John Locke and Adam Smith. No longer does the great majority have a landed estate and a once far more common natural independence allowing for a truly fair relations between capital and labor.’

Comment
When did the ‘great majority have a landed estate’?

In the 18th Century? In Britain? In ‘the days of John Locke and Adam Smith? No, Kidding!

The great majority lived on subsistence wages, had no land, could graze a pig or a cow, if they had one, on the commons, and had no political rights, no health services, couldn’t read or write – many men could in Scotland, due to the ‘little schools’ in every parish; but girls and women were left out of schooling - and in England were by law tied to their parish and couldn’t seek work legally elsewhere.

Yes, it has certainly changed since Adam Smith’s days. for the better! The poor are incomparably better off materially (the rest of the world’s really poor take great risks to try to get into Britain and North America to share their ‘poverty’).

Is there a parallel universe that Kent Welton has slipped here from? Is he trying to slip out of the USA to a better place?

An Unreconstructed Marxist Opines on China

George Walden writes in Blomberg a fiesty piece, ‘Adam Smith Goes to China, Marxists Cheer in Dodgy New Orthodoxy’ (here).

Giovanni Arrighi, a sociology professor at Johns Hopkins University in Baltimore, has written a book that I fear could become the new orthodoxy on China’ [apparently Arrighi is a Marxist; unreconstructed too, it seems]:

No one should be surprised that the center of economic gravity is shifting from America to Asia, [Arrighi, ] argues. Already in the 18th century, Adam Smith wrote in ``The Wealth of Nations'' that China was following a ``natural'' path to development, concentrating on agriculture before industry and international trade. This Arrighi describes as an alternative path to opulence.

In fact, the Scottish economist also wrote that China's failure to open its ports robbed the country of foreign machinery and techniques, restricting its manufacturing capacities. Arrighi waves this aside, underlining instead that Europe's emphasis on trade caused the West to develop in what Smith called an ``unnatural'' way.’

Comment
What Adam Smith said about China (extract from my 'Adam Smith' manuscript):

He didn’t appear to consider [Britain reaching its ‘full complement of riches’] a likely contingency at any time soon, but he accepted that ‘China seems to have been long stationary, and had probably long ago acquired that full complement of riches which is consistent with the nature of its laws and institutions’, adding, tellingly:

‘But this complement may be much inferior to what, with other laws and institutions, the nature of its soil, climate, and situation, might admit of’.


How Giovanni Arrighi interprets this as ‘an alternative path to opulence’ is baffling. Some alternative path; some opulence! The following two centuries must have seemed idyllic to China’s people under the Emperors, the War Lords and finally Mao ZseDong and his Marxist experiment! (But no opulence.)

Adam Smith also said that ‘other laws and institutions, the nature of its soil, climate, and situation might’ produce a superior complement of riches. He outlined what he meant by the ‘nature and its laws and institutions’ in 18th-century China:

In a country too where, though the rich or the owners of large capitals enjoy a good deal of security, the poor or the owners of small capitals enjoy scare any, but are liable, under the pretence of justice, to be pillaged and plundered at any time by inferior mandarines, the quantity of stock employed in all the different branches of business transacted within it, can never be equal to what the nature and the extent of that business might admit. In every different branch, the oppression of the poor must establish the monopoly of the rich, who, by engrossing the whole trade to themselves, will be able to make very large profits.’ [WN I.ix.15: pp 111-12]

Sunday, November 18, 2007

A New Blog on the Block - to cheer you up

I visited Café Hayek, as I usually do daily, and found Don Boudreaux recommending a new Blog, ‘It’s getting better all the time’, written by Manoj Padki, whose strapline is: “I believe that life is getting better all the time - and this blog is going to document news about this continual progress in human living standards and quality of life. Please send me links to such news items.”

So I took a look and found nice, nippy short pieces on Manoj Padki’s theme, all based on data, not wishful thinking.

You can find it here.

It’s worth a try, so I bookmarked it. Thanks Don. With all the bad news around, I need something to cheer me up.

Edmund Burke and Adam Smith: how conservative were they?

Frederick Dreyer (professor emeritus, Department of History, University of Western Ontario), writes a high-quality article in National Post (Canada), “Taking the full measure of Edmund Burke” (here), is in complete contrast to the flippancy of George Jonas (see below).

Frederick Dreyer discusses the ‘conservatism’ of Edmund Burke and highlights his differences with a rival politician, Richard Price:

Price was a man of great versatility, and among his many accomplishments, he had written an important book on moral philosophy, Review of the Principal Questions in Morals. (It is still in print today.) To oversimplify matters somewhat, Price's argument is that it is our faculty of reason that allows us to tell right from wrong: "Reason is the natural and authoritative guide of a rational being." Much of what Burke wrote in the Reflections is an implicit attack on Price's moral philosophy. In condemning reason, it is not Voltaire and Rousseau he had in mind, but Richard Price.

In making this attack, Burke drew heavily on another theory of moral philosophy, one that discounted the importance of reason in our moral judgements and stressed the importance of our natural passions. This is the Theory of Moral Sentiments written by his contemporary, Adam Smith. Burke was an uncritical fan of Smith's work. "I am not only pleased with the ingenuity of your theory," he wrote to Smith. "I am convinced of its solidity and truth; and I do not know that it ever cost me less trouble to admit so many things to which I had been a stranger before."

It's a fair guess that the Burke who adored the Theory of Moral Sentiments had no objections to the Wealth of Nations. There is nothing in the Reflections that might not have been written by Smith. Nor is there anything in Burke's collected writings that disagrees with Smith.

Though I think it likely that Burke read the Wealth of Nations, it is not something we can prove. But we can prove perhaps his agreement with it. This is evident from his Thoughts and Details on Scarcity, in which he argues against the government's management of the food trade: "To provide for us in our necessities is not in the power of government. It would be a vain presumption in statesmen to think they can do it. The people maintain them, and not they the people."

It sounds like Smith, doesn't it? If Burke is the classic conservative, then conservatives have no cause to be ashamed of capitalism
.”

Comment
Richard price says: "Reason is the natural and authoritative guide of a rational being", which is plainly non-Smithian, and given Burke’s praise for Smith’s ‘Theory of Moral Sentiments’ when it was published in 1759, it is not something that Burke would agree with.

Frederick Dreyer asks a question of which I had not thought about because I assumed that he had read Wealth Of Nations: did ‘Burke read the Wealth of Nations?

It is not as if he could really miss it, given his parliamentary interests and his interests in the American rebellion, of which Adam Smith had much to say about in his critique of colonialism as a mercantile project that was detrimental to British interests in its economy and in its cost (£170 millions pent in wars defending the colonies against France).

However, I would draw attention to the fact that whether Burke read Wealth of Nations is perhaps less important than whether he agreed with Adam Smith’s critique of mercantile political economy, the main purpose embedded in Smith’s work.

Certainly, Edmund Burke sought to distance himself from Adam Smith’s political economy in the years after Smith died in 1790. With his interest in the French revolution, Burke was conscious of the dangers inherent in the French Terror and his highly conservative anti-French discourse attacked many of the friends and associates of Smith.

In Emma Rothschild’s Economic Sentiments: Adam Smith, Condorcet, and the Enlightenment (Harvard, 2001, Chapter 2, pp 52-72: “Adam Smith and Conservative Economics”) there is an excellent discussion of events around this period, during which Adam Smith’s name and his Wealth Of Nations were regarded with deep suspicion by the Establishment, and prominent individuals who were associated with ‘French’ ideas were put on trial for using language not all that much different than Adam Smith used in reference to some aspects of government policy and public finance.

I recommend that you read Frederick Dreyer’s article here and Emma Rothschild’s Economic Sentiments.

Sunday Invisible Hand no 373

George Jonas writes a piece (more of a muddled rant) on “The bovine-conservatives” (don’t ask) in National Post, a Canadian paper, here.

When the great new ideas of liberal democracy, lasseiz-faire capitalism, and Western-style individualism appeared on the world’s stage, some even-toed ungulates couldn’t stand or fathom Adam Smith’s “invisible hand” guiding society’s affairs. These frank counterrevolutionaries preferred the visible hand of royal masters, like Louis “l’État, c’est moi” XIV. They resisted free enterprise as unabashed feudalists or royalists.”

Comment
To take this seriously for a moment, it is most unlikely that ‘even-toed ungulates’ (a hoofed mammal) ‘couldn’t stand or fathom Adam Smith’s “invisible hand”.

The use of this metaphor was deep into Book IV of ‘Wealth Of Nations’ (p 456) and was hardly noticed by anybody until the 20th century when modern economists picked it out, brushed it down its dust, and turned it into a mysterious, even hinting at this ‘miraculous’ force for making even the most unlikely self-interested business polluter, monopolist, and anti-social employer into a social beneficiary, whose beneficence was as invisible as the disembodied part supposedly guiding him.

Otherwise it is a Sunday nonsense.

Saturday, November 17, 2007

My Review of Dani Rodrik's 'One Economics: Part 2

Dani Rodrik tackles the institutional question in chapter 6 (‘Getting Institutions Right’), which is crucial given that the Washington Consensus (as amended) has gotten it wrong, quite wrong, over the years since it held sway over international development.

He contrasts a country (the post-soviet Russia) with a high degree of legal private property rights that most entrepreneurs didn’t trust enough to take full advantage of their assumed primacy in development, with a country (Communist China) without significant property rights, dominated by the state that had significant positive responses to development at the local level. He asserts, unfortunately ‘the empirical literature does not tell us how that safety [where investors feel safe] is attained, only that it matters a lot’ (page 189). This leads to him concluding that the ‘best we can do as analysts is to come up with contingent correlations that are contingent on the prevailing characteristics of the local economy’ (p 190).

One size does not fit all. That should be written on every wall where development economists are at work. Homo economicus is not ‘alive and well’ across all economies, because homo sapiens live in all kinds of circumstances and institutions and they are not independent rational maximisers acting in concert, as they can’t when dealing with their dependence on others. Ration theories of individual maximisation of utilities or whatever do not cope well when two or more individuals are in conflict.

When Dani Rodrik moves onto discussing the complexities of globalisation would benefit from his re-reading Wealth Of Nations, especially Book IV. Rodrik writes:

Investment portfolios in the advanced industrial countries typically exhibit large amounts of “home bias”; that is, people invest a higher proportion of assets in their own countries than the principles of asset diversification would seem to suggest’ (p 197).

Adam Smith wrote about this in the chapter that includes the (in)famous metaphor of ‘an invisible hand’ (WN IV.ii: pp 452-72). The preference of a wholesale merchants is to ‘naturally prefer the home trade to the foreign trade of consumption’ (WN p 454) … ‘Upon equal or nearly equal profits, therefore, every individual naturally inclines to employ, his capital in a manner in which it is likely to afford the greatest support for domestick industry, and to give revenue and employment to the greatest number of people of his own country’ (WN p 455). And as the arithmetic whole is the sum of its parts, this necessarily renders the revenue of society greater than it would be if merchants dispersed their capital abroad.

Why do merchants behave this way and do not send more of their capital abroad as investments or in joint ventures? Risk aversion among merchants:

‘[The merchant] can know better the character and the situation of the persons whom he trusts, and if he should happen to be deceived, he knows better the laws of the country from which he must seek redress’ (WN p 454). This means he has ‘some part of his capital always under his own view and command’ (WN pp 454-5); ‘he saves himself the risk and trouble of exportation’ (WN p 455); and his home capitals continually circulate at home ‘and towards which they are always tending’, except when they are sometimes ‘driven off and repelled from it’ (WN p 455).

In short, it is from the intention ‘only of his own security’ that he directs his capital in this manner (WN p 456). This behaviour necessarily increases domestic capital formation higher than it would otherwise be if they were not so risk averse about foreign ventures. Whether this is advantageous if its curbs foreign trade or whether domestic tariffs are appropriate in giving a monopoly to the domestic trade is an open question.

Dani Rodrik’s analysis of the consequences of the trade biases of globalisation (chapters 7, 8, and 9) are an excellent summary of the issues that dominate the present debate and they add to the unresolved problems for development of the poorer countries, fragmented as they are in any list of performance indicators.

That the missing element in all of these discussions is the failure of mainstream neoclassical economics to produce policies that actually worked over a 50 year period is worrying for the profession.

This does not mean that there were better alternative theories or practical policies on hand, but that is of little comfort, because by general consent the ‘best and the brightest’ graduates and tutors in large numbers have been concentrated in economics departments monopolised by mainstream neoclassical economics and in a constant drift away from the real world; finding comfort in their abstract worlds and assumptions.

That Dani Rodrik raises the ‘home bias’ of investment portfolios, as if it is a new issue for the 21st century, 231 years after Adam Smith wrote about it in Wealth Of Nations – and not in an obscure chapter, because a metaphor from it is probably more quoted, more often, and in more textbooks, refereed articles, theses, dissertations and media outlets (and wrongly, to boot) than anything from any other chapter – is evidence that the narrow vision of modern economics has costs, particularly in those countries imposed upon with wrong policies.

Adam Smith commented on his contemporary economists (Dr Quesnay and his Physiocratic colleagues) who:

seem to have entertained a notion of the same kind concerning the political body that it would thrive and prosper only under a certain precise regime, the exact regimen of perfect liberty and perfect justice. He seems not to have considered that in the political body, the natural effort which every man is continually making to better his own condition, is a principle of preservation capable of preventing and correcting, in many respects, the bad effects of a political economy, in some degree, both partial and oppressive. Such a political economy, though it no doubt retards more or less, is not always capable of stopping altogether the natural progress of a nation towards wealth and prosperity and still less of making it go backwards. If a nation could not prosper without the enjoyment of perfect liberty and perfect justice, there is not in the world a nation which could ever have prospered’ (WN IV.ix.28: p
674).

It doesn’t take a close reading of Wealth Of Nations (though I would recommend a close reading for all professional economists) to realise that Adam Smith dealt with the real world in all of its diversitry, the known history of its parts and the very real policies applied by real governments.

He didn’t assume that a single frame of reference applied to all economies and neither did he believe that the entire world or a country within it had to brazenly change everything in order to change some of the worst vestige of centuries of errors. In Britain’s case he was quite ready to accept that there would not be a total overhaul of every aspect of its society (inlcuding in matters of free trade); it could proceed to opulence (development) with more than a few flaws in terms of the philosophy of Natural Liberty, and with many flaws in its economic structures.

When I was reading Dani Rodik’s chapters on the varied performances of different systems of government and different structures of their economies, why was I not in the least surprised by many of his comments of the ‘surprising’ gains in the more unpromising political systems and disappointments in those closer to the democratic plurality we have in the West?

That’s Smithian political economy at work and not the perfection of political-economic structures that are assumed by those who advise the World Bank, the IMF and development departments in Western governments.

I certainly enjoyed reading Dani Rodrik’sOne Economics, Many Recipes’ (Prineton University Press), both for the message that mainstream economics recognises its past limitations (not to say its outright errors in policy making) of the Washington Consensus, and for confirming that critics of those wrong policies that ignored, and on occasion rode over the objections of knowledgeable local people, were right about adapting changes consistent with their histories and current realities, and not imposing neoclassical assumptions on unsuitable candidates for their failed experiments.

Friday, November 16, 2007

My Review of Dani Rodrik's 'One Economics': Part 1

Dani Rodrik’s theme is distinctive. He makes the obligatory genuflection to his on-message credentials (if he didn’t, he would not get the hearing he seeks in the mainstream economics profession who run and influence the decision makers about these things) in clarifying his adherence to ‘neoclassical economic analysis’. Which he sums as ‘social phenomena can be understood by considering them to be an aggregation of purposeful behaviour by individuals … interacting with each other and acting under the constraints that their environment imposes’(p 3).

His definition neatly encapsulates his theme; he doesn’t consider that the Washington Consensus properly takes account of the ‘constraints that their environment imposes’ in the cases of many of the developing countries, which are a disparate bunch to say the least.

The Washington Consensus consists of rules of good behaviour necessary for promoting economic growth – one size fits all- set out in Fig 1, ten original rules plus ten augmented rules. Briefly, the facts appear to show, of which Dani Rodrik provides detailed analysis, that in practice their application over 50 years has proved disappointing to say the least. Those countries that accepted the rules and applied them have fared less well than those that didn’t, or rather, some of those that didn’t did much better than others that didn’t and those that did (Chapter 1).

His excellent Chapter 2 on Growth Diagnostics is on how to analyse growth performance in developing countries (especially Fig 2.1) and applies it to three countries Brazil, Dominican Republic and El Salvador. This usefully unpicks their differences (broadly their ‘environment’). I think Dani Rodrik shows that using these tools as a ‘way of thinking’ about a reform agenda is much more productive that merely ticking the 10 or 20 boxes associated with the Washington Consensus and tackling the unticked boxes with imposed reforms from the ‘one size fits all’ approach to growth and development.

Chapter 3 discusses industrial policy for the 21st century, and this means confronting the usual polar views on market and government failure and the imposed views of international bodies like the IMF and the World Bank. Dani Rodrik supports his survey with two long tables, Tables 4.2 and 4.4 (pp 122-47). The conclusions are not flattering to optimism that they work, nor necessarily encouraging of their detractors. For instance, Dani Rodrik lists six assertions (p 150) that the can’t work, included such as ‘governments cannot pick winners’, ‘prone to political capture and corruption’, ‘there is little evidence that industrial policies work’, and six assertions that they can be made to work (pp 150-51).

Dani Rodrik concludes that ‘industrial policy is a process of economic self-discovery in the broader sense. The right image to carry in one’s head is not of omniscient planners who can intervene with the first-best Pigovian subsidies to internalise any and all externalities, but of an interactive process of strategic co-operation between the private and public sectors that, on the one hand, serves to elicit information on business opportunities and constraints, and on the other hand, generates policy initiatives in response’ (p 151).

Chapter 5 discusses the kinds of institutions that would facilitate ‘high-quality growth’. He opens with discovering that homo economicus is ‘alive and well’ (memories of George Stigler on Adam Smith being ‘alive and well and living in Chicago’ crossed my mind) wherever development policies have worked, that is wherever ‘price incentives are able to operate', from which he concludes that ‘neoclassical economic analysis has much to contribute to development policy’, but qualifies this (contentious) assertion with the observation that exponents of this view ‘led for a while what was perhaps an excessive focus on relative prices’.

If homo economicus was ‘alive and well’ in some successful developing countries, the species was not prevalent elsewhere that needed them most. And in fact, as Dani Rodrik’s segmented data shows, those developing countries that succeeded did not conform to the neoclassical economic paradigm of open economies (South Korea, Taiwan, Japan, Malaysia, Singapore). And neither did those countries that applied the policies that failed do so well (South America, Africa).

Dani Rodrik blames the ‘absence of adequate institutions’, which I would have thought should have been noticed before the neoclassical treatment was assumed to work. And that’s the problem that Dani Rodrik keeps coming up against: neoclassical economics does not take account of the absence of ‘adequate institution’ because its models assume that they exist, even though the slightest acquaintance with such countries would reveal their absence (they did visit them, didn’t they – what do you mean they didn’t!).

His discussion on pages 156-61 of what constitutes ‘adequate institution’ is a welcome acknowledgement of what for 50 years has been ignored by the international institutions and neoclassical economists in the developed countries national institutions charged with promoting development.

[I shall break off here and continue later as I have other pressing tasks to complete today. I will continue with summarising Dani Rodrik's excellent book and commenting from a Smithian viewpoint.]

Crooked Timber Debate on Dani Rodrik's New Book a Disappointment to Me

I have found the discussion on Crooked Timber about Dani Rodrik's new book, 'One Economics, Many Recipes' (Princeton University Press) disappointing in the comments the contributors have attracted.

Also, the format of the debate is awkward. Reading each contributor's piece (all published together) on Dani Rodrik's book one after the other, then reading the comments to each one, the plot is lost. They should have been published separately – say, daily – and I am not sure the commentators to each piece have read the same book or they have lost Dani Rodrik's 'big picture' (they've certainly lost me).

I shall, instead, finish my own reading of the book and then make a comment, possibly in a couple of posts. This will include a summary of Dani Rodrik’s thesis.

[I tried to post this yesterday but following a 5 hour power cut froma fire at a substation in Edinburgh, my computer is still recovering and is not working properly. Fingers crossed.]

Wednesday, November 14, 2007

Dani Rodrik's Welcome Analysis of the Deficiencies of Modern Economics When its Exponents Ignore Institutions

Dani Rodrik’s new book, One Economics, Many Recipes: global institutions, and economic growth, (Princeton University Press) has attracted interesting comments on several Blogs. I had intended to contribute some views earlier, but my temporary absence for a couple of days altered those plans.

I would like to comment on some preliminary issues raised by Dani Rodrik though and perhaps follow up with a longer assessment later. An oline seminar was sponsored by Crooked Timber (here) introduced by Henry Farrel, and includes some leading economists as guest contributors: David Warsh, who runs Economic Principals (here); Dan Dresner (here); Mark Thoma's Economist’s View, a leading economics Blogger(here); Jack Knight (author of Institutions and Social Conflict); Adam Przeworski;(">here).

Their contributions to the seminar are published at Crooked Timber, plus the numerous comments each contributor has received.

It is also advised that you read Dani Rodrik’s One Economics, Many Recipes ($27.44 from Amazon US; £16.60 from Amazon UK). It addresses current issues in development – why are the performances of many countries so variable; what does this suggest for the various policies advised by neoclassical economists, particularly in the Washington Consensus, and what conclusions might be drawn from this situation?

Dani Rodrik passes the insider test of being an accomplished neoclassical economist and he never strays too far from its reference points in modern theories of economics. However, he certainly is not a purist when it comes to the application of economic theory to real world problems.

Without shaking the foundations of modern theories his book raises very interesting questions about the strict application of pure theory to the problems his book addresses, and about the relative non-success of neoclassical theories, or more correctly the assumptions on which their application is based, pointing out the weakness that the institutional assumptions of competition, rule of law, efficient political structures, legislative honesty and stability, often do not obtain in the countries which try to apply the Washington Consensus under advice from the World Bank, and others.

What is more, some of the success stories of recent growth and development do not conform to the implied free market models (China, India, Vietnam) and neither did the earlier successes of South Korea, Taiwan, Malaysia, Singapore and Hong King.

So how come? That is what interested me in reading these chapters.

Not surprisingly, to readers of Lost Legacy, I could not help but contrast how Adam Smith saw economic development in Wealth Of Nations and wondered what his work could contribute to such a discussion. It is to this subject that I wish to make a contribution, and shall do over the next few days.

I would post these ideas on Crooked Timber, but feel somewhat chastened for contributing, apparently, too often on the earlier debate on Greg Clark’s, A Farewell to Alms (Princeton University Press), on Marginal Revolution a couple of months’ back.

A Critic Strikes Back


Raul Ramos y Sanchez
, an author, responds to my piece on Monday about his post discussing immigration into the USA. Here is a letter posted as a comment:

Mr. Kennedy,
Methinks thou doth protest too much. Adam Smith’s invisible hand has become a widely used metaphor to describe the power of the marketplace -- not as a specific reference to the works of Adam Smith. The fact you have spotted this reference 371 times should be a clue. Do you also get your knickers in a twist when someone uses “Dickensian” or “Orwellian” as an adjective? C’mon, Gavin. Give today’s writers a break.
Raul Ramos y Sanchez


Comment
Hi Paul

If any metaphor is appropriate in a different context, writers of course, are perfectly entitled to use it, and they also have a perfect artistic right to use it inappropriately. If it isn’t appropriate, then critics have a duty to point this out.

Your statement:
Adam Smith’s invisible hand has become a widely used metaphor to describe the power of the marketplace -- not as a specific reference to the works of Adam Smith.’

Part of the statement is factually true: It has ‘become a widely used metaphor’. That is not the gist of my comment.

This is ‘Lost Legacy’, a Blog dedicated to clarifying Adam Smith’s actual legacy in his works. In so far as modern economists, mainly from the mid-20th century, most of whom admit to never having read Wealth Of Nations, have adopted a single metaphor and attached it to something he never used it for is something that I think is relevant for Lost Legacy to comment upon.

Adam Smith’s use of the metaphor was hardly noticed by his readers while he was alive, or throughout the 19th century when his works were actually still read by political economists.

The rest of your sentence is a perfect illustration of the misuse of the metaphor: ‘Adam Smith’s invisible hand’ to ‘describe the power of the marketplace’. Now, Adam Smith didn’t use the metaphor remotely for this purpose.

He described the ‘power of the marketplace’ in Books I and II of Wealth Of Nations and there is no mention of ‘an invisible hand’ at work or lurking around, yet the use of the metaphor (and in your case too) implies that he viewed markets operating in such a manner. After all, his analysis centred on markets, yet there is no mention of them requiring a mystical disembodied entity that was a common metaphor in literature of the time.

The ‘power of the market place’ does not need to use such a metaphor and Adam Smith apparently agreed because he didn’t use in that way.

Here are some contemporary uses of the metaphor of an invisible hand:

Homer (Iliad, 720 BC); ‘And from behind Zeus thrust him on with exceeding mighty hand’;
Horace (65-8 BC), Ovid (Metamorphoses, 8 AD): ‘twisted and plied his invisible hand, inflicting wound within wound’;
Lactantius (De divinio praemio, 250-325): ‘invisibilis’ ;
Augustine, 354-430, “God’s ‘hand’ is his power, which moves visible things by invisible means’ (Concerning the City of God, xii, 24);
Shakespeare, ‘Thy Bloody and Invisible Hand’, (Macbeth, 2.3; 1605);
Daniel Defoe, ‘A sudden Blow from an almost invisible Hand, blasted all my Happiness’, in Moll Flanders (1722); ‘it has all been brought to pass by an invisible hand’ (Colonel Jack, 1723);
Nicolas Lenglet Dufesnoy said that an “invisible hand” has power over “what happens under our eyes”;
Charles Rollin (1661-1741), whom Pierre Force describes as ‘very well known in English and Scottish Universities’, said of the military successes of Israeli Kings “the rapidity of their consequences ought to have enabled them to discern the invisible hand which conducted them”;
Charles Bonnet (whom Smith befriended in Geneva in 1765) wrote of the economy of the animal: “It is led towards its end by an invisible hand”;
Jean-Baptiste Robinet (a translator of Hume) refers to fresh water as “those basins of mineral water, prepared by an invisible hand”.
Voltaire (1694-1178) in Oedipe (1718) writes: “Tremble, unfortunate King, an invisible hand suspends above your head’; and ‘an invisible hand pushed away my presents’;
Kant (1784) ‘Universal History’: ‘leads on to infer the design of a wise creator and not [the hand of a malicious spirit]’, p 39.

I am not objecting to you using any metaphor in your composition; I am objecting to you calling it Adam Smith’s metaphor when a), it wasn’t his at all – those above include very famous ealier and contemporary writers; and when b), it is calumny in direct contradiction to his theory of markets.

However, it suits modern economists whose abstract mathematical models of markets are given some sort of endorsement by associating the power of Adam Smith’s name with the alleged validity of their models.

Why not use Shakespeare’s metaphor, or Defoe’s metaphor, which in common with Adam Smith, had nothing to do with markets?

As for “Dickensian” or “Orwellian” as adjectives, it would depend on the contexts. To write of “Adolph Hitler’s Christ-like aura” would be inappropriate, I suggest, and that might provoke many people, perhaps yourself too, to get ‘their knickers in a twist’; in some religions it would provoke degrees of violence.

My comments were precisely that: comments and, appropriate, on Adam Smith’s Lost Legacy.

I hope you are pleased, though, that a few hundred more hits may take place from my mention, with a link in the original post below, on Lost Legacy, by readers who will read your piece on immigration into the US.

Regards

Gavin

Sophistpundit Links to Lost Legacy's Post on Elizabethan Guilds

Adam Gurri of Sophistpundit (‘self consciously pretentious since 16 November, 2004’) posts a report (here) of Lost Legacy’s, ‘Was Galbraith a Good Historian?’, from Wednesday 12 November posts, in ‘Did Elizabethan Guilds Promote General Opulence?’.

It’s always encouraging when other Blogs refer to our posts and we always welcome them for doing so (critical or otherwise).

Invisible Hand no 371

Raul Ramos y Sanchez, an author, writes a Blog: Author’s Diary (here)

He joins a debate on immigration into the USA (of which I am neutral, not voting there) and includes this gem:

A look at our planet from space shows no national borders. Examine a fifty-year-old globe and it becomes apparent that sovereign boundaries are illusions that change over time. What we are seeing today is Adam Smith’s invisible hand redrawing the map of our hemisphere.”

Comment
Whatever is ‘redrawing the map of our hemisphere’ it has absolutely nothing to do with “Adam Smith’s invisible hand”.

There were no boundaries when the continent’s first migrant invaders arrived across from North Asia, or the second, third and fourth waves moved in, some of them stopping in what we call Mexico.

Native Americans came from Asia; Europeans from Europe, and the rest from all over, some voluntarily, others as slaves. The USA is a land of immigrants.

None of them were driven by invisible body parts, unless the metaphor has been given a life of its own.

In Adam Smith’s case, the metaphor was about the risk avoidance of traders preferring to invest locally than in distance sales and abroad, and specifically refers to the whole being the sum of its parts, in that each individual’s decision to invest locally to lower their risks, meant that the amount of local investment was higher, which had beneficial outcomes for the local economy.

It’s not clear what the metaphor added to Adam Smith's analysis of the process – it certainly did not make much any sense of what happened and which motivations caused it.

As a mere rhetorical flourish, he used a literary metaphor, common enough in the 17th and 18th centuries (Shapespeare used it too) to be used widely (see my paper: 'Adam Smith and the Invisible Hand', June 2007, which is available free as an electronic file from Lost Legacy), but was given a new lease of life in the 20th century by neoclassical economists and a meaning never intended by Adam Smith.

Tuesday, November 13, 2007

Unavoidably Absent until Wednesday Evening

I may not blog at all from today until late Wednesday evening (GMT) due to a stay in hospital for an examination procedure.

Apologies, but when the medics get hold of you, there is no choice!

I'll get an insight into the National Health Service, which from some conservative Blogs I read, some call it 'socialised medicine', and many criticise it as bureaucratic, wasteful and too big.

The 'proof of the pudding' springs to mind! I'll contemplate on Adam Smith's view that the 18th century government ought to use public resources to combat the effect of 'noxious diseases' (Book V).

Gavin

Monday, November 12, 2007

Was Galbraith a Good Historian?

History News Network here Carol V. Hamilton asks: ‘Is David Brooks a Good Historian?’ (11 November):

In his New York Times columns, David Brooks often makes confident, if glancing, references to American and European history and historical figures. Too often these allusions are problematic, closer to received ideas than informed historical opinions.

On May 8, 2007, for example, Brooks wrote, “Adam Smith put his faith in the collective judgment of the market.” This is a gross simplification of Smith’s work; all the average Republican seems to know about it is the “invisible hand” metaphor. In Liberalism John Gray refers to Smith as “one of the great classical liberals,” calling attention to Smith’s support for “a constitutional order in which civil and political liberties are guaranteed.”

And John Kenneth Galbraith observed:

‘Adam Smith detected a dismaying tendency for sellers to combine in order to raise prices and thus destroy the regulatory power of the market. He was also very suspicious of joint stock companies, now called corporations, which, besides being strongly inclined to monopoly, he also thought not very efficient. He would have allowed them only a limited range of large tasks. Many people who now yearn to resurrect Smith will find him a scathing enemy if they succeed
.’ (John Kenneth Galbraith, Almost Everyone’s Guide to Economics, 14-15.)

She concludes:

“Historical figures like Lincoln, Hamilton, and Adam Smith are not baseball cards to be collected as if they were members of one’s favorite team. They are complicated, even self-contradictory, and their conventional reputations rarely match up with their biographical complexity.”

Comment
Carol Hamilton’s broad point is accepted and applies accurately to Adam Smith (I cannot speak with authority about her examples from Lincoln and Jefferson).

That ‘all the average Republican seems to know about [Adam Smith] is the “invisible hand” metaphor’, sadly, would also broadly apply to most of the media and a fair majority of modern economists, including many on campuses.

The sentence she quotes from John Gabraith: [Adam Smith] ‘was also very suspicious of joint stock companies, now called corporations, which, besides being strongly inclined to monopoly, he also thought not very efficient’ is problematic, given we, and he, could access the Wealth Of Nations and read Book V with relative ease.

Such a short read would show that his ‘suspicions’ were focused on a particular type of joint stock company, the chartered trading companies which were given legal monopolies of trade with distant territories. The particular case in which Adam Smith's ire was inflamed was that of the East India Company, formed in 1600, and in possession of an exclusive monopoly of British trade to and from India.

He found the East India Company riddled with pernicious practices, cruel and oppressive government, military force for conquest and not for the defence of trading posts, corruption on a grand scale, reaching down to lowly clerks trading ‘on their own account’, and the zealous protection of its monopoly against all comers, including foreign traders with India (itself causing frequent acts of war). Other chartered trading companies were ‘useless’, despite their legal monopolies.

The polemic is strong but ought not to obscure the fact that his criticism of the organisational structure of joint-stock trading companies did not extend to all joint stock companies. He recommended them for such activities as banks, citing in particular the Bank of England, the Bank of Scotland and the Royal Bank of Scotland (all still profitably trading today without the whiff of corruption, nor the stench, of corruption and scandal). They were also highly efficient as well as being honest and did not have exclusive monopolies in their fields of business.

He also recommended joint-stock companies for activities like the insurance industry and canals; the need for vast capitals to run these companies successfully made the joint stock arrangements necessary.

Galbraith had claims to being a historical scholar and he should have noted what Adam Smith actually wrote and not, mischievously extended his critique of the chartered joint-stock companies, formed by Royal Warrant or Act of Parliament, and not a little flow of funds between their sponsors, legislators, and the sovereign or those who influenced them, to modern corporations formed from over a century later (which were the real target of Galbraith's writings.

Words sometimes change their meaning over the centuries and ‘corporation’ is one of them. That’s why I refer to the non-recognition by disintuished scholars of these changing meanings as ‘mischievous’. To find it in Galbraith’s writings suggests that Carol Vanderveer Hamilton’s title could be changed from, ‘Is David Brooks a Good Historian?’ to how good an historian was John K. Galbraith?

Sunday, November 11, 2007

Did the Elizabethan Guilds Promote General Opulence?

In a Blog, ‘stealth badger’, I find a most literate account of the role of organised labour from the ‘Black death’ in Europe to the writer’s strike in Hollywood films and tv (here).

Its author (unnamed) does a fairly convincing job on the emergence of labour from within agriculture/shepherding (2nd and 3rd Smithian Ages of Man: Lectures On Jurisprudence and Wealth Of Nations). I would quibble with some of his historical constructs but the authors has identified the emergence of labour in guilds (or ‘corporations’ in Europe in the Middle Ages –itself an interesting aside).

The legal recognition of guilds and the entrenchment of their monopoly privileges under Elizabethan laws in the 1500s, was part of the glimmerings of a change from a totally farming, raw materials economy, in which over the next four centuries a declining number of people employed in farming could feed, albeit at per capita subsistence level the majority of the population, towards an increasing manufacturing, process of raw materials sector that lay the basis for industrialization in the 19th century.

In the mid-18th century, Adam Smith noted that the country was fed by less than half of the population, the other half was divided between those engaged in productive labour and those who lived in various degrees of prodigal idleness, the defence of the realm, and unproductive labour (retainers, servants, civil administration and justice, the institutions of religion, and so on).

The common labourers, on the land and in town manufactures, constituted the majority of the populations. Their living standards were subsistence only, with some layers earning slightly more, others totally destitute.

‘stealth badger’ traces the guilds as ‘natural’ in that they provided their members with ‘position and place’ in the emerging towns. Their legal statutes prescribed the number of apprentices (2) and they sought to maintain quality and orderly markets in their products.

Adam Smith was hostile to their anti-competitive behaviours, particular in their restrictive practices, their ‘trade secrets’, their internal discipline and the common front they exhibited in collusion with ‘brother guilds’, and their ‘conspiracies’ against the public consumer.

Guilds, like trade unions today, protect the interests of their members and, by extension their families. They are antagonistic to the interests of non-members and their families, and when push comes to shove they are antagonistic to other guilds or unions where they perceive their interests clash.

Smith’s answer to the problem of mass subsistence poverty for the majority of the nation’s employees and their families was not one of joining one-side of the other, labour or capital; it was to raise per capita incomes by raising the growth rate of the economy, without the inhibitory factors of monopoly, mercantile political economy, distortions brought about by colonial monopolies, and the waste of wars over the ‘jealousies of trade’ with actual and potential trading partners. He took an all-society perspective, not that of a social order or special interest group.

In his day there was no universal franchise – far from it and he, for instance, did not have a vote. The institutional structure was top down; the established churches of Scotland and England ruled harshly in doctrinal regimes reaching from the capitals to the smallest villages and down into each individual in each family.

In Scotland, the church was strictly orthodox in its interpretations of religious obligations and its extremer wings were tyrannical in their intolerance of dissent, doubt and disrespect for their invisible version of 'God'.

Under these social restrictions, Adam Smith’s critique – ‘a very violent attack’ on the commercial system of mercantile politics – necessarily made no allusions to any defects in the social order he might have held, and which occasionally he hints about, and his narrative stood off from fundamental changes that would challenged established authority, preferring to fire his polemical salvoes at the failings of existing policies when measured against his sole focus of commercial growth.

The role of the guilds in the evolution of commercial society, in contrast, focused, head down, on the narrow sectional interests of small groups of corporations of trade, such as shopkeepers, petty tradesmen, masters of workmen, who processed the necessities and conveniences of life for all, including the more numerous poorer families, and the ‘amusements of life’ for increasing numbers of richer families, growing in number as the domestic economic product grew faster than the ever growing population.

Adam Smith noticed that domestic economic product was growing and, significantly, an increasing section of the population was also experiencing increasing per capital incomes. He put this down to the expanding commercial economy (the fourth age of man) from the propensity to exchange and the division of labour, which was driven by expanding markets at home and abroad. These current observations, their evolution explained by recent history, encouraged Adam Smith to believe that his perspective of the changing world had substance.

Remnants of the old age, such as the guilds and the town corporations, did not fit into the revived commercial society upon which he expected so much; they were part of the problem of mercantile political economy as the main inhibitors of expanding markets, and thereby of the spread of opulence to all the orders that made up society.

For these reasons I part company with the analysis posted on ‘stealth badger’ of the positive contribution of the guilds, though I found its analysis most interesting and productive.

Silly Sunday Story on Adam Smith no 5

Responsible Nanotechnology here offers a quotation by William Gibson on the invisible hand:

“They Just Emerge"

"Not Necessarily Relevant Quote of the Week:

We don't legislate emergent technologies into existence. We almost never do. They just emerge, dragged forth by Adam Smith's invisible hand. Then we have to see what people are actually going to do with them, and try to legislate to take account of that.”

Comment
Gratuitous nonsense: ‘dragged forth’ by an invisible body part?

Saturday, November 10, 2007

'Invisible Handcuffs'?

Michael Perelman teaches at California State University, Chico, and is an active writer from a broadly left-of-centre viewpoint. He is the author of about a dozen books on economics, both theory and policy.

I met him at George Mason University this year, catching a paper he delivered to the Summer School seminar before the main conference of the History of Economics Society, and we spoke a couple of times. I found him most personable and thoughtful; not a ranting ideologue of any kind.

We also corresponded privately on his paper which I read carefully and suggested some amendments, though in retrospect I probably overdid my comments on Michael Perelman’s interpretation of Adam Smith.

In a Blog, Econspeak 'analysis of the economically incorrect' (here) he writes:

The Invisible Handcuffs of Capitalism’

The sixth chapter puts the subject in historical perspective by looking back at the economic perspective bequeathed by Adam Smith. The chapter emphasizes Smith as a harsh disciplinarian. It shows how Smith eliminated any discussion of modern industry in order to allow him to offer a vision of freedom and liberty.

Smith realized that the harmonious society he advocated depended upon a prior coercion of labor to accept the discipline of the workplace. At that time, violent measures were often required to leave people with no option but to accept the new conditions of wage labor. Even after people became corralled into wage labor, Smith realized that controls had to go deeper into people's lives, including state regulation of religion. In short, for all his positive rhetoric about freedom, Smith's concern was to control people in order to make them obedient workers.

The seventh chapter analyzes the consequences of Smith's work. It describes how later economists simplified Smith's writings and removed its uncomfortable ideological implications. The result was an effective, but unrealistic, propagandistic shell.

The eighth chapter looks at the concept of the Gross Domestic Product, a seemingly straightforward measure of the success of an economy. The chapter reviews the evolution of this highly political concept, showing how, just like with Adam Smith's theory, the Gross Domestic Product focused on convenient matters that put the market in the best possible light.

The chapter ends by contrasting the Gross Domestic Product with the results of a recent field of "happiness studies," in which social scientists, including economists, recognize the disconnect between the Gross Domestic Product and a satisfying quality of life
.’

Comment
The ‘Invisible Handcuffs’ has obvious origins in Shakespeare’s use of the metaphor of the invisible hand in Macbeth (1605) and Adam Smith’s Wealth Of Nations.

Evidence for the meanings generating the following sentences by Michael is not obvious to me, though I recognize shadows of the ideas I read and commented upon in my response to Michael’s paper at the GMU Summer School last June:

Smith as a harsh disciplinarian.’

Smith eliminated any discussion of modern industry’

’Smith realized that the harmonious society he advocated depended upon a prior coercion of labor to accept the discipline of the workplace.’

Smith realized that controls had to go deeper into people's lives, including state regulation of religion’

Smith's concern was to control people in order to make them obedient workers’.

Rather than go into textual detail on what Adam Smith actually wrote and how Michael Perelman interprets his version of what he wrote, I shall make a general defence of Smith’s views.

Adam Smith was a moral philosopher not a political or ideological agitator. As a philosopher he saw his role to ‘observe, but do nothing’ and he sturdily rejected the role of the ‘man of system’ (Moral Sentiments, TMS VI.ii.2.17-18P pp 233-4) who had a perfect system in mind.

Michael Perelman gives the impression in his paper, which appears to be echoed in this outline of his new book, that Adam Smith had some kind of role in the evolution of commercial society (and in some careless allusions, to the capitalism that followed in mid-18th century).

Wealth Of Nations is not a textbook nor a political economy of capitalism; it is a critique of mercantile political economy, looking backwards to its evolution from the 15th century after the millennium that followed the fall of Rome in 476.

That Smith did not discuss ‘modern industry’, which Michael confuses it with what is now called the industrial revolution (post-1800, not yet evident except in retrospect from 1750-1790), is because it was not agenda when he was constructing his polemic against mercantile political economy.

I shall read Michael’s book when it is published and comment in detail. I hope he takes account of my written private comments to him, not to change his thesis, that would be impertinent, but to ensure he does not associate Adam Smith with ideas he never had and policies he never advocated.

Authors from the left who see Adam Smith as some sort of ambassador for rightwing ideologies are sometimes as exasperating as authors from the right who have picked misleading, including ‘fictional’ notions, about Adam Smith advanced by neoclassical economists, including partial and general equilibrium theorists (some of whom won Nobel Prizes) dominant in US academe.

Invisible Hand, no 371

K. Hansen writes in Living in interesting times (‘the fight to ensure access to higher education in New Brunswick’) here. “Hogs at the Trough, or Pigs in Space

But now that we live in an age where, largely, industries are founded by financiers looking to make a fast dollar, rather than by independent inventors looking to market their discoveries, we find industry wishing to disregard the role of Adam Smith’s “invisible hand” and stick their own fingers directly into the pie. They confuse “industry” with “marketplace”. The two are not the same, not by any reasonable interpretation. Still, the industrialist’s position would be fine if they were attempting to found research departments within their own companies to pursue promising lines of research, but that isn’t the aim in the case of the PSEC report. Instead of industry risking its capital on research, it wants the taxpayer to bear all of the risk for the benefit of industry. The vision of hogs at the trough comes readily to mind.’

Comment
That favourite disembodied body part, the ‘invisible hand’, crops up again. This time the invisible hand has a ‘role’; usually it’s a ‘theory’, a concept’, ‘a principle’, even a ‘paradigm’. It was none of these to Adam Smith.

K. Hansen seems to think it exists. The problem, Hansen thinks, is that it is ‘ignored’. So, financiers are ‘ignoring’ what is ‘invisible’! Well, that’s not difficult then, is it?

Invisible Hand no 370

In a Blog, entitled: “-Fighting Liberalism One Post At A Time... a blog by butch morgan” (here) I find:

'Trower' is a Republican running against John Murtha in Pennsylvania's 12th congressional district. From his site: ‘I am a Conservative. … I believe prosperity is best ensured by what Adam Smith called the “invisible hand” of a natural, price driven economy.

Comment

Whatever the merits of Trower’s political campaign the Adam Smith part unhappily is false, as discussed here many times. The reference to the use of the metaphor of ‘an invisible hand’ had nothing to do with a ‘natural, price driven economy’.

Wealth Of Nations discuses in detail and extensively the workings of a commercial economy in 18th-century Britain in Books I and II and does not mention any role for the ‘invisible hand’.

When Adam Smith sets out his principles upon which markets work, division of labour, specialisation, extent of the market, propensity to truck, barter, and exchange, self-betterment, natural and market prices, accumulation of fixed capital and circulating capital, the role of wages, rent, and profit, the role of money, frugality and savings, prodigality and waste, productive and unproductive labour, causes of growth and progress towards opulence, he does not mention ‘an invisible hand’.

If his singular use of the metaphor of the invisible hand in Wealth Of Nations (a common enough literary metaphor in the 17th and 18th centuries, and in Shakespeare in 1605, and in classical Latin and Greek dramas) had the importance attached to it by modern economists and political commentators (of both left and right orientations), it is surprising that he never mentioned it in relations to markets at all.

His only use of the metaphor an invisible hand is in Book IV (WN IV.ii.9.p 456) in relations to risk avoidance; he gives 51 examples in Books I and II of Wealth Of Nations where the alleged properties of the disembodied body if there was one operating in society and markets quite clearly do not work.

The public benefit is compromised in these instances, often by the behaviours of merchants, manufacturers, legislators, rulers, and people who influence them.

Strange!

Thursday, November 08, 2007

British Tories Seize the Initiative on Adam Smith's Social Policies

Cameron vows to reclaim core Tory values from Left
Back to Central Government
” (here)
and also on Conservative Home(here)
“Cameron takes Tory message of social justice to Labour heartlands

"The co-op movement has generally been associated with the political left," he will say.

"I think that's a shame. First, because there have always been people on the centre-right concerned about the effects of capitalism on the social fabric.

"Men like Carlyle and Disraeli, following the tradition of Edmund Burke and Adam Smith himself, who recognised at the outset of the industrial revolution that profit was not the only organising principle of a healthy society.

"And second, because the co-operative principle captures precisely the vision of social progress that we on the centre-right believe in: the idea of social responsibility, that we're all in this together, that there is such a thing as society - it's just not the same thing as the state
."

Comment
This is a welcome approach to Adam Smith from the Conservative Party leader. It goes to the core of what community is about and is very much in line with Adam Smith’s analysis of commercial society and his moral philosophy in Moral Sentiments.

It steps away from the singular rightwing message about Adam Smith that focuses solely on the theoretical purity of markets and ignores the rest of his analysis in Moral Sentiments, Lectures on Jurisprudence, and Wealth Of Nations (all available in low-priced editions from Liberty Fund from Amazon).

I urge rightwing-minded people who only know of Adam Smith quotations and have never read his books to do so. He had much to say that you will find in his sympathetic moral philosopy on relations within the family and community and their wider social bonds.

For balance, I would urge those of a leftwing disposition who see Adam Smith as a ideologue of capitalism (a word and phenomenon he never knew) also to read his books. You will learn that he took an humanitarian view of people's liberty and had deep suspicions of those who influenced legislatures for their own interests in monopoly, pricing and colonial adventures.

Adam Smith's Tone was Not Indifferent to the Effects on Labourers While they Adjusted to New Trading Arrangements

Sally James in a publication from the Cato Institute writes: “Trade Adjustment Assistance no longer serving any purpose - Study advocates ending a flawed welfare program”

The expiration of the current Trade Adjustment Assistance program at the end of this year is an ideal opportunity to sunset a misguided policy, according to a study released today by the Cato Institute.

It is not clear that Americans overall should be especially concerned about trade-related unemployment, especially when unemployment is so low, writes author Sallie James. Since 1996, the American private sector has added a net 15 million jobs, hardly evidence of a national crisis necessitating a federal response.
In Maladjusted: The Misguided Policy of Trade Adjustment Assistance, the author examines the various arguments advanced by supporters of special assistance for workers who are laid off because of competition from imports and finds that current circumstances are especially unfavorable for reauthorization, let alone expansion, of the program.

Unemployment creates hardship for all laid-off workers and their families, no matter what the cause. What, then, explains the different treatment in favor of trade-affected workers?, writes James. Moreover, TAA promotes the fallacious idea that trade creates ‘victims’ that are special. ‘While some workers will lose more than they gain from trade liberalization, at least in the short term, their numbers are small. Other factors domestic competition, and changing tastes and technology are a far more important source of change.’

The study also finds that the political reasoning behind the program is no longer relevant. The author concludes: ‘Through much of the post-war era of trade liberalization, trade adjustment assistance was a compromise between organized labor and free-traders: lower tariffs would be accompanied by welfare benefits for people who lose their jobs because of import competition. This deal, however, is no longer effective at mollifying the opposition, as the Democratic majority continually stalls on trade agreements, or refuses outright to pass them.’
The study can be found here.


Comment
Adam Smith was not what today we would call an ideologue. He wrote Wealth Of Nations as a commentary on the mercantile political economy of his day which had directed British economic policy since the 1500s and featured protectionism, a false obsession with the ‘balance of trade’, large doses of 'jealousy of trade' (which saw trading partners as the ‘enemy’ best dealt with by regular wars instead of expanding trade with them to mutual benefit), false doctrines on wealth as gold and silver bullion (needed to fight continental wars), local monopolies, tariffs and colonies.

If he had examined the history of state policies since 1790 to today, he would not have to alter the main themes of Wealth Of Nations much, both in the absence of free trade (in Britain, the rest of Europe and North and central America), nor in today's jealousy and morbid fear of major trading partners (for example, China).

He would have had to caution exponents of free trade who disregard the effects of sudden changes in trading policies on the labouring people concerned.

Those interested in his actual views on the need for careful adoption of free trade on the domestic economy and on those affected by such measures, which reads different in tone from the apparent proposal of Sally James to do away with welfare support while the adjustments take place, should turn to Wealth Of Nations, page 469 and thereafter (WN IV.ii.40-45).

His main point is that ‘Humanity may in this case require that the freedom of trade should be restored only by slow gradations, and with a great deal of reserve and circumspection.

Adam Smith had to great concerns: persuading the legislature and those who influenced it to understand the damage which their mercantile policies inflicted on the whole economy, rich and poor alike, in lower rates of growth, and to argue the case for removing the specific impediments to prudent and productive growth as swiftly as possible, consistent with not imposing upon the poorest majority of the population further burdens of trying to manage on subsistence incomes.

The balance between ‘progress to opulence’ to relieve the labouring order of their dreadful state (as had been the case for this order for millennia) and the rate of change that would bring about that ‘progress’ which could worsen their plight if the pace is other than ‘slowly and gradually’, comes through in Wealth Of Nations very clearly.

Ideologues who favour instantaneous change and ideologues who oppose all change were twin burdens borne by humanity in Adam Smith’s view.

I think, respectfully, that Sally James should re-read Wealth Of Nations through and note Smith’s tone: he was impatient with legislatures and people who influenced them (‘violently’ so, he admitted in his correspondence), but was never indifferent to the sufferings of those affected either by the mercantile status quo or, potentially, by the indifferent rush to the ‘utopia’ of perfect free trade.

Adam Smith's Support for Progressive Taxation

Marc Lee writes in The Progressive Economics Forum (here) on progressive taxation and quotes Adam Smith’s Wealth Of Nations:

Some of the knee-jerk commentary in response to my paper has been about what an ideal, or fair, tax system should really look like. These people question progressive taxation. To them, I quote Adam Smith from The Wealth of Nations (from Wikipedia):

“The necessaries of life occasion the great expense of the poor. They find it difficult to get food, and the greater part of their little revenue is spent in getting it. The luxuries and vanities of life occasion the principal expense of the rich, and a magnificent house embellishes and sets off to the best advantage all the other luxuries and vanities which they possess. A tax upon house-rents, therefore, would in general fall heaviest upon the rich; and in this sort of inequality there would not, perhaps, be anything very unreasonable. It is not very unreasonable that the rich should contribute to the public expense, not only in proportion to their revenue, but something more than in that proportion
.”

Comment
The quotation is extracted from WN V.iie.6: p 842, where Adam Smith discusses taxes in the 18th century British economy.

I have no particular comments on progressive taxation, especially in relation to 21st century debates given the massive, completely different taxation regimes in Britain, the US and other rich developed countries, and the size of the government budget (from about 5 per cent of GDP to upwards of 30 to 50 percent across these economies).

The case for progression is sound; the rates at which progression is set is open to debate and is a matter for democratically elected governments. The modern case for a flat tax is compelling too, where it may have been unsound in 1776, given the absence of income tax on wages, the absence of council ataxes, valued added taxes, myriad ‘stealth taxes’, and the complexity of tax regimes and, above all their costs.

Selective quotations, out of context (and, if I may so, when not referenced by their authors, are unhelpful to readers, other than scholars familiar with his works) can lead to pointless debates about Adam Smith’s legacy, considering the importance of context when quoting from Wealth Of Nations.

Tuesday, November 06, 2007

A Californian Resident and Adam Smith

Bill Falzett writing in the American Chronicle (5 November) on 'Madness 101: Blaming the Victim II – Causes of Poverty” (here) asserts:

Adam Smith, the economist who is often cited to justify free market economics, said that self interest was best served by human sympathy. He equated moral sentiments and self interest. Big-business acquisitors leave out the sympathy part and focus only on self interest – looking out for number one.

Smith’s conclusion was that the “invisible hand” of free markets cannot lead to beneficial outcomes if people and markets are not operating within a societal context that supports the interests of all of society.

Smith was against the idea of corporations, or "joint stock companies." The irony of the looking-out-for-number-one mindset is that they have to gang up with other “investors” to reduce liability. In a free market, it seems more appropriate that you form your own company, make your own product well, and earn your own profit from your own responsible works. Smith believed that income taxes should be progressive – the more you earn, the more you should pay in taxes. Again, conservative, free marketers leave this part out of their rationale…”

“If we are to have a diverse, prosperous economy, the task is to confront and expose the ideology that breeds “Looking out for number one.” Free market, unregulated, Big Business breeds violence and victimization of the majority of the people. Balance between capitalism and appropriate use of the resources is the ideal. That balance requires government regulation, government transparency, and government responsiveness to the people
.”

Comment
Bill Falzett gives a mixture of plausible fact and implausible fiction in his assessment of Adam Smith. That Smith wrote about sympathy and self interest is true; that he ‘equated’ one with the other is less than true. Though, for the sake of compression in an article we can let that one go, as long as we know how they were different.

In so far as Bill Falzett criticizes how apologists for ‘big business’ misread, misquote and misapply Adam Smith’s works he is on fairly solid ground. His rhetorical simplifications of reading ‘self interest’ as ‘looking out for number one’ is not what Adam Smith meant by the motivation of self interest. He did not mean self interest was selfishness; that was Bernard Mandeville, not Adam Smith, a confusion often made by people who have not read the works of either gentleman.

He did not conclude ‘that the “invisible hand” of free markets cannot lead to beneficial outcomes if people and markets are not operating within a societal context that supports the interests of all of society’. He did not have a theory of markets, nor make assertions about them, which included his single use of the metaphor of ‘an invisible hand’.

Whether ‘people and markets’ ’lead to beneficial outcomes’ if they operate ‘within a societal context that supports the interests of all of society’ is a proposition that Bill may argue for, but it had nothing to do with Adam Smith’s use of the metaphor of ‘an invisible hand’ or with anything he wrote in Wealth Of Nations. That is a notion smuggled into Adam Smith’s ideas from the 20th century.

Adam Smith was not against “the idea of corporations” or "joint stock companies." That is a complete misreading of Book V where he criticizes the Chartered Trading Companies as part of his critique of mercantile political economy in Book IV of Wealth Of Nations.

Readers may scroll down Lost Legacy and find detailed discussions of Adam Smith’s views on joint stock companies. In the 18th century the chartered trading companies operated under Royal Warrants that awarded them monopolies of trade with certain territories, in particular the East India Company that was so far away from supervision from London that it took 12-18 months to communicate with India and receive reply back in London.

He opposed joint stock companies that operated under state approved monopolies and they were inefficient and dishonest as a result. Adam Smith explicitly supported joint stock companies that did not have monopoly powers, such the Bank of England, the Bank of Scotland and the Royal Bank of Scotland, and joint stock companies that had to raise large capitals to complete public works, such as canals, that facilitated commerce.

Bill Falzett concludes: “Balance between capitalism and appropriate use of the resources is the ideal. That balance requires government regulation, government transparency, and government responsiveness to the people.”

Governments are run by people and there are competing solutions to every political problem that exists. ‘The people’ don’t run governments, never have. People who often claim to represent ‘the people’ run governments.

Adam Smith never proposed a plan, a scheme, a ‘system’; he analysed how society got to where it was in the mid-18th century. He was only optimistic about the commercial economy eventually providing the resources so that the majority could share in the opulence they created.

Instead of repeating conflicting interpretations of what Adam Smith offered in his books, essays, correspondence, lecture notes and surviving scraps of paper, I recommend to Bill Falzett that he reads his actual works for himself. He will find a far more complex author than either he, or the apologists for ‘big business’ and government agencies, so far imagine.

He can order low-priced Oxford editions of his Theory of Moral Sentiments, Lectures on Jurisprudence, and Wealth Of Nations, Correspondence and his Philosophical essays from Liberty Fund, Indianapolis.

He can also wait until it is published in 2008 (shameless plug!) for my new book, Adam Smith, in the Great Thinkers series for Palgrave Macmillan, which gives a comprehensive account of Adam Smith’s thinking as he wrote it and intended it to be understood.

Monday, November 05, 2007

Invisible Hand no 369

Peter Robb, The Ottawa Citizen, writes “Taking care of ourselves -- and each other”, 5 November, here:

One of the great pleasures of being an editorial writer is participating in editorial board meetings, where we meet with newsmakers, intellectuals and other interesting people or groups. The topics are varied and always informative.
This past week we hosted two excellent discussions, both of which provoked lively exchanges and also helped me understand more clearly the value of what Adam Smith famously described as the "invisible hand" more than two centuries ago.

"Every individual," wrote Smith, "neither intends to promote the public interest, nor knows how much he is promoting it. By preferring the support of domestic to that of foreign industry he intends only his own security; and by directing that industry in such a manner as its produce may be of the greatest value, he intends only his own gain, and he is in this, as in many other cases, led by an invisible hand to promote an end which was no part of his intention."


Comment

Peter Robb, The Ottawa Citizen, writes “Taking care of ourselves -- and each other”, 5 November, here:
http://www.canada.com/ottawacitizen/news/story.html?id=232b27d4-8b9c-493a-8494-c25f771ed633&p=2
“One of the great pleasures of being an editorial writer is participating in editorial board meetings, where we meet with newsmakers, intellectuals and other interesting people or groups. The topics are varied and always informative.
This past week we hosted two excellent discussions, both of which provoked lively exchanges and also helped me understand more clearly the value of what Adam Smith famously described as the "invisible hand" more than two centuries ago.
"Every individual," wrote Smith, "neither intends to promote the public interest, nor knows how much he is promoting it. By preferring the support of domestic to that of foreign industry he intends only his own security; and by directing that industry in such a manner as its produce may be of the greatest value, he intends only his own gain, and he is in this, as in many other cases, led by an invisible hand to promote an end which was no part of his intention."

Comment
In illustration of his theme, Peter Robb quotes the example of an initiative from the Forestry Products Association of Canada, a trade organization, which is promoting green harvesting of trees and the green production of the by-products of wood.

Why this remind him of the value of Adam Smith’s use of a metaphor of an invisible hand he does not say. This metaphor followed Adam Smith’s clear explanation of the risk aversion of individual merchants would lead them to invest locally rather than at a distance, which, because the whole is the arithmetical sum of its parts, it would lead to more local investment in the absence of protectionist measures to curb foreign imports.

It was the individual decisions of the merchants, not the direction of someone (the sovereign, the government, or a trade guild) that led to the outcome he describes.
Peter Robb’s quotation is part of the sole quotation in Wealth Of Nations that mentions the invisible hand metaphor (WN IV.ii.9: p 456).

Sunday, November 04, 2007

Why China Did Not Industrialise First?

Greg Clark (and others) ask why the ‘industrial revolution’ as it is known, did not happen elsewhere first rather than in Britain. Among the countries mentioned as candidates for an IR is China.

In The Bayesian Heresy (3 November)(here)

There is an interview with Joel Mokyr in latest World Economics- some excerpts below:

In a recent paper in the Journal of Economic Perspectives, David Landes has revisited the question of why China was not the first country to have an Industrial Revolution. Why did China fail to have the first Industrial Revolution, given that it is generally agreed that China was the world’s technological leader until about five hundred years ago?

Well, 1500 is perhaps a bit late in the game… 1350 would be my break point on China’s technological leadership. Why not China? This is undoubtedly one of the big questions in human history. China certainly had the numbers in terms of population if you believe the Jones–Kremer story. We know that eighteenth-century China is a very sophisticated, commercialised, monetised, economy with good property rights. What I think was the missing ingredient in China was that Francis Bacon was not Chinese. This is the first part of the story. The ‘Baconian Revolution’, and the founding of the Royal Society is pivotal to what is happening in Europe. Essentially this revolution created bridges between the people who make things with the people who know things. That’s what really counts. It doesn’t matter how many smart people you have who know things if they do not have contact with the people who make things out in the fields, factories and workshops. This contact raises important questions, such as, How do we fix this machine so that it works better? How do we make this? How do we break through this barrier? What Bacon and other Enlightenment thinkers bring to this story is a pragmatic, material, set of questions. They were not creating things to demonstrate metaphysical points about the wisdom of the creator, or attempting to foresee the future using astrology, or dabbling in the occult. They wanted to help the farmer and the manufacturer with practical down-to-earth knowledge. That is the essence of Francis Bacon’s message and it did catch on.

Was there nothing like this in China?

The Chinese do not have anything that looks like an Enlightenment. The Chinese court controls everything, whereas in Europe the Industrial Enlightenment and Baconian program are driven by private individuals, not by governments. The whole intellectual process in China is largely government controlled, manipulated and managed. There are European countries which also follow this model and they are the ones who do not make it to the convergence club; for example, countries such as Spain, dominated by a counter-Reformation, and Russia, ruled by a tyrannical government.

The second part of the story is not so much to do with technology but with the institutional aspects of the Enlightenment. This is the belief that the economic game is not zero sum. The idea that trade between regions and countries could lead to mutual gain is one that the mercantilists rejected. Mercantilism is essentially a system of rent seeking based on the assumption that wealth is increased by grabbing as much as you can. The new thinking rejected this idea and suggested that such behaviour would, more than likely, cause the overall size of the economic pie to decline.

The ultimate culmination of this new thinking is Adam Smith’s book The Wealth of Nations, published in 1776.

The ideas are already in the air a century before this. Joseph Schumpeter once said that the Wealth of Nations does not contain anything new. But Schumpeter did not like Adam Smith very much so he would say that, wouldn’t he? [laughter]..."

Comment
Interestingly, the turn away from a modern growth trajectory by China in the 14-15th century almost coincides with the re-appearnce of the commercial base activity that in three hundred years led to the beginning of the long epriod of increasing returns to scale, know as the IR today.

By the time, late last century, that China recovered from its distraous experiemnt with government ownership under communism, the 'barbarian' west had leapt forward to the highest living standards the world has ever know. Millennia of steady per capita subsistence gave way from the end of the 18th century to steadily growing per capita incomes of the mass of the people. The poor today in the developed countries enjoy an affluence (opulence Smith called it) greater tha the rich elites of the previous eras, and the rich elites today are fabulously wealth on top.

All history before this transformation is the history of the rich and powerful elites in local societies gradually enjoying rising per capita incomes while the mass of the labouring and war fighting poor remained poor and on subsistence. But the crucial thing is what the rich elites of these previous societies spent the surpluses upon.

If they used them for productive purposes, allowing commercial societies to grow, slowly and gradually, and accumulated surpluses for further investment, they prepared the ground for what became known as the industrial revolution, or, more accurately for what is now known as capitalism.

If they used them for their glorification (pyramids), for wars, for waste and prodigality, they eventually declined, and Western Europe is covered by their ruins, called 'civilisations'. That knowledge accumulated, along with ignorance, is itself a precondition of science; that science allied to technology persisted is an explanation of why in Europe, but less so elsewhere once China stagnated, allied to commerce eventually flowered in the 18th century in North-west Europe and not China.

Adam Smith On A Moral Dilemma

Jason Wong publishes an essay, ‘Of Sympathy, Justice, and Self Interest’ (here), which analyses a modern moral dilemma to test Adam Smith’s views in Moral Sentiments(1759).

The moral dilemma Jason discusses arose from the discovery by two shepherds in Afghanistan of a Seal patrol searching to apprehend or kill Taliban leaders. What should the SEAL’s do?: kill the two civilian shepherds to preclude the Taliban searching for and killing them, or leave them be with the real danger they will report their discovery to the local Taliban who will search for them and attempt to kill them (which they did try subsequently)

UK readers will recollect a similar dilemma faced by the SAS patrol, ‘Bravo Two Zero’ when a child discovered their hideout, a short distance from an Iraqi army patrol in the first Gulf War, and the subsequent events. They decided not to kill the boy and he promptly returned to the Iraqi patrol and pointed where they were hiding. The mission was compromised, several died, survivors were imprisoned to the end of that war (treated extremely badly) and one patrol member escaped capture and walked to Syria.

I found it a well-written paper that raised issues with Adam Smith’s views on the role of justice as the ‘pillar of society’. Jason has read Moral Sentiments carefully and his paper shows evidence of thoughtful analysis.

Jason writes:

In a case such as the real-life example described above, Adam Smith’s Theory of Moral Sentiments leaves much to be desired in reconciling sympathy with self-interest to attain justice.”

Smith claims that the rules of justice are the only rules of morality which are precise and accurate; that those of all the other virtues are loose, vague, and indeterminate In this manner, Smith promises more than he can deliver as justice is not necessarily as precise and accurate as he claims. Basically, Smith overreaches in trying to define justice to fit too many different parts of his theory, and this overuse confuses the reader’s understanding of justice and how to determine just actions."

Here are my comments this morning but readers should read the whole of Jason’s paper because it is too long to post on Lost Legacy:

“Justice in Smith (and the Scottish tradition of moral philosophy) was the essential foundation of a society shepherds (2nd Age of Man)and farming (3rd Age of Man). It was based on the recognition and defence of property (unknown in the first Age of Man (hunting). It is enforced by laws and punishment, whereas the other virtues are unenforceable by punishment (the essence of justice).

You appear to see justice as a decision process akin to someone deciding whether to be, say, beneficent, when it is quite different. Hence, Smith's admonition that justice is the pillar upon which society is based.

This does not invalidate your carefully poised and clear views on what the Navy Seals should/might do (there was a similar incident in the first Gulf War when British special forces were discovered by a young boy). Justice in Moral Sentiments and Adam Smith's thinking was about the consequences of actions that breach laws; not about choices.”

Further comments:

Jason judges Moral Sentiments on what I would suggest is a slight confusion on the use of the word justice. For Smith this was the rule of law agreed to be instituted by men by which their conduct would be judged, primarily in respect of property and man’s Natural Rights.

The rules of justice for a particular society could vary, particularly in cases of punishment for breaches. If the breach was proved to whatever standards were the norm, then punishment or chastisement followed. As society developed, laws became more numerous and punishments modified.

A person’s behaviour was not judged by the laws of Justice in the same sense as whether their action was justifiable. Justice, unlike the other virtues, was a negative virtue – they specified what you could not do, such as steal from, murder or harm people, for which punishments were prescribed (trial by combat, whipping, banishment, mutilation, hanging and such like, or their modern equivalents).

The other positive virtues are not enforceable. Breaches are regretted, but not punished by court processes. You could whip or hang someone in Smith’s time for stealing, but not do similar to someone who was benevolent. The distinction is significant and I think Jason goes astray by not taking this into account when assessing Moral Sentiments.

I still recommend those readers not too familiar with Moral Sentiments to read Jason Wong’s paper and then read the book with my comments in mind.

Property Rights Do Matter for Development

Abdullah A. Dewan, Professor of Economics at Eastern Michigan University writes in The Daily Star (‘committed to people’s right to know’) Dhaka, Bangladesh (4 November) here:

The question "why do some countries prosper while others lag behind?" has animated the research interest of economists since Adam Smith. Although, Smith's analysis delved into the imperative role played by the division of labour in economic growth, it also accentuated the import of the political and legal institutions protecting economic activity in explaining the wealth of nations.”

Comment
Dr Adullah Dewan lists eleven factors associated with growth from the International Property Right Index (IPRI) constructed by Alexander C. Horst of the National Center for Policy Analysis, Washington DC.

They should be of interest to those considering what role institutional factors play, if any, in economic development (re: Greg Clark’s hypothesis in A Farewell to Alms, 2007, that they were not decisive in the development of Britain up to 1800 – because, he argues these factors were all in place since the 1300s, though this is debatable ).

Adam Smith focused on the division of labour as spanning all his four ages of man, from the transformation of hunting modes of subsistence into shepherding and farming, and not just its role in commercial society, which was distinguished by increasing returns in manufacturing.

He also focused heavily on the role of property, and justice, as much as the division of labour. Modern economists tend to concentrate on economic factors; Adam Smith a moral philosopher emphasized institutional factors in Lectures on Jurisprudence (1762-3), especially property relations. That growth economists are re-discovering their role in development along the lines of Adam Smith’s work is encouraging.

Friday, November 02, 2007

Beyond Comment!

Sonia Arrison writing in the online newsletter, TechNewsWorld (‘all tech, all the time’) here:

"Thank Boomers for Buffing Up Brain Market"

The next time someone complains about the baby boomers' obsession with youth, a good response would be to evoke Adam Smith. Remind them that self-interest in a free market creates enormous benefits for society, including new ways to keep our brains healthy.”

Comment
None!!!

Slowly and Gradually the Poor World Develops

John B. Chilton writes (31 October)in The Emirates Economist Blog (economic analysis of events in the United Arab Emirates and the Gulf) (here):

In praise of sweatshops: Oldie but goodie”, quoting Paul Krugman, New York Times:

On the opponents of globalization:

When the movement gets what it wants, the effects are often startlingly malign. For example, could anything be worse than having children work in sweatshops? Alas, yes. In 1993, child workers in Bangladesh were found to be producing clothing for Wal-Mart, and Senator Tom Harkin proposed legislation banning imports from countries employing underage workers. The direct result was that Bangladeshi textile factories stopped employing children. But did the children go back to school? Did they return to happy homes? Not according to Oxfam, which found that the displaced child workers ended up in even worse jobs, or on the streets — and that a significant number were forced into prostitution.

The point is that third-world countries aren't poor because their export workers earn low wages; it's the other way around. Because the countries are poor, even what look to us like bad jobs at bad wages are almost always much better than the alternatives
.”

Comment
These are the stark consequences of exporting Developed Countries welfare standards to developing economies.

Similar stories abound of, for example, Vietnamese women working in factories for 12 hours a day when the only alternative is for them to work 18-days in the fields in the agriculture sector. The women concerned express hostility to foreigners’ ideas of what is proper for them in their circumstances, especially as none of the foreigners know about working the fields.

Adam Smith is sometimes chastised by the ‘left’ for not protesting at the employment of child labour in the 18th century. Children from 6-years old could add to the family gross income by a few pence a day, which added to the labourer’s income was the difference between starving below subsistence or surviving at subsistence. The difference was stark.

Coming from a family of 19th-century coal miners in Kilwinning, Ayrshire, I am very aware of what that life must have meant to my great-great grandfather’s family, including his wife and children. His sons were sent down to pit to move coal and, later, to mine it. My great grandfather went down the pit, so did my grandfather. His only son died in infancy and two of his daughters survived, one to work in clothing factories and the other (my mother) to start as a typist.

In those years between living in a Scottish mining community and a career in a clothing factory and an office, the economy had grown significantly, as had the per capita income of those who worked for wages, a process that continued through their lifetimes (and now ours).

Adam Smith saw the growth of the commercial economy, slowly and gradually, as the only realistic route out of poverty. Sure it would make the rich richer, living in large houses with a score of household staff (my grandmother was ‘in service’ for one such family in the highlands of Scotland), and experiencing the new commodities of motor cars (my father’s grand father was a chauffer for one such family; my father a motor mechanic for the new market in cars), telephones, heating, oil and then electric lamps, gas cookers and baths, and so on.

But progress to opulence, in Adam Smith’s thinking, would bring these real benefits to the majority of the labouring ‘orders’ (the bulk of the population) and raise them and their children accordingly. It did so for my family history and for millions of others. It took time, true, and might have been speeded up except for the continuing mercantile political economy that dominated British government policies before and since Adam Smith’s day. But it happened and we reap the benefits.

I think we ought to look at development in the poorer world in much the same way. Stopping labourers’ families taking jobs at lower wages than are paid in Chicago, Boston, Los Angeles, London, Edinburgh and most points outside the developing world is sentencing them to the only (appalling) alternatives that are available. Those thinking that development is too slow should reflect on their alternatives – compared to what?

On the point in the quotation, I agree with Paul Krugman.

Thanks to ‘Netsmith’ in Blog Review 406 on the Adam Smith Institute Blog here for drawing my attention to his post.

A Remark on Adam Smith and Specialisation

Chris Meisenzahl posts on The Amateur Economist and Curmudgeon Blog, 1 November, (here):

“Homeschooling and Economics” and makes a passing remark to Adam Smith (via the estimable) Dr. Boudreaux who “provides an excellent analysis here. We've learned that specialization is very beneficial (as he says, going all the way back to Adam Smith) and that it makes us all wealthier.”

Comment
For the record, Lost Legacy likes to clear up claims for Adam Smith that give him credit when earlier scholars either originated the ideas attributed to him (mainly because he is so famously associated with them) or they reported on the ideas of even earlier scholars.

Adam Smith made the division of labour and specialization as a central theme in Wealth Of Nations (the ‘pin factory’ example, which he used from Diderot’s Encylopedia). The idea of specialization having positive effects on productivity (increasing returns to scale) certainly dominates modern economic thinking but it has a long lineage before Adam Smith saw its central significance to the creation of wealth.

Plato, unsurprisingly, noted the division of labour; William Petty gave examples of specialisation in the making of a watch in the 17th century; Bernard Mandeville in the Fable of the Bees did so too (1724), and in France in the 18th century numerous authors noted the phenomenon and in Diderot’s case illustrated it.

“We learned about” the benefits of specialisation from others before Adam Smith; that modern economists learned about specialisation ‘from Adam Smith’ is probably true in the sense that modern economists do not usually study the history of economic thought (such chairs and courses now fairly scarce on the campus) and the source of their information is from passing remarks of their tutors about Wealth Of Nations.

Given that their tutors also attribute to Adam Smith fantasy notions about his alleged ‘laissez-faire’ theories, alleged ‘small government’ totems, alleged theories (‘paradigms’ even) of invisible hands’ and his alleged disposition to oppose joint stock companies, and so on, perhaps it is a minor quibble to point out the antecedents to his theories of specialisation.

However, Adam Smith took the division of labour and the extent of the market to a degree that others hadn’t before him, and according to Schumpeter (echoed by Rothbard) nobody had done since, and that aspect of specialisation deserves notice in the compression of expression in an en passant sentence. From that perspective, I am grateful for Chris Meisenzahl creating the opportunity to add a bit of history to the statement about Adam Smith and the division of labour and specialisation.

Thursday, November 01, 2007

Myth of the Invisisble Hand, no 368

Ralph Thurm writes a Blog, ‘Sustainability Reporting Central’ and carries a post: ‘Recalibrating the Invisible Hand’, 1 November, (here) which manages to be half-right on some things, correct on a few others, and woefully wrong on his main theme.

The critics of the concept of sustainable development and CSR always argue with Milton Friedman’s famous quote that “the business of business is business” and also refer to Adam Smith’s theory of the “invisible hand of the market”… ..Even worse, these two famous quotes seem to permit amoral behaviour if there are no laws against a certain ways to pursue self-interest."

Comment
The statement attributed to Milton Friedman may be accurate but the statement attributed to Adam Smith (which Ralph Thurm mistakenly calls a ‘quotation’) most certainly isn’t anything that Adam Smith wrote. He never linked the invisible hand to the market, which he comprehensively analysed in Books I and II of Wealth Of Nations without mentioning anything about ‘invisible hands’.

His used a metaphor, which was not a ‘theory’, nor a ‘concept’, nor a ‘paradigm’, and was strictly in relation to statements he made about the effect of risk aversion risk among merchants faced with a choice of investing locally or among foreigners. It appears (once only!) in Book IV of Wealth Of Nations, chapter ii, paragraph 9, on page 456. For his so-called theory it is remarkably absent from his major book. That’s because he didn’t have an invisible hand theory of markets.

The elision of Adam Smith’s metaphor in a theory of markets was a creation of modern neo-classical economists, centred on Chicago University, who found in the use of the metaphor some kind of justification of their mathematical theories of general equilibrium.

Decades of teaching graduates their false association of one of Smith’s metaphors, which itself was a common literary metaphor in the 17th and 18th centuries, though its antecedents go back to classical times in Greek and Latin literature, and the subsequent teaching of its graduates across US campuses for sixty years, has resulted in almost universal belief that Adam Smith had an invisible hand theory of markets.

The fact is that he didn’t have such a belief. So why is the belief so entrenched? Because almost al graduates of economics do not read, nor are they required to read, Wealth Of Nations at any time. They may read the odd quotation but as there are none linking Adam Smith’s single use of the metaphor in Wealth Of Nations to his theory of markets, we find the final insult to scholarly standards in the running together of sentences from page 27 in Book I to the metaphor in a sentence from page 456 Book IV ( a gap of 429 pages!) and claiming that this is Adam Smith’s theory of the invisible hand!

And this is not just passable economists who scraped through their courses; this applies, sadly, to those at the very top of the economics’ profession, including several who have won Nobel Prizes.

Hence, not surprisingly, Ralph Thurm, is misled as well and he uses the invisible hand myth as the core of his post.

But wait a minute! When Adam Smith published “An inquiry into the nature and cause of the wealth of nations” in 1776, partnerships were the dominant form of enterprise in which ownership and management meant the same thing. Adam Smith was against the idea of corporations, or "joint stock companies."

Most "lobbyists of the invisible hand of the market are not aware that Adam Smith did also publish “The theory of moral sentiments” in 1759, where he explains that the self-interest of the market players (buy and sell side) needs to be pursued by people of conscience and with a clear moral capacity; he argues that sympathy is required to achieve socially beneficial results. The self-interest he speaks of is not a narrow selfishness that allows whatever market transaction, but something that involves sympathy. He regards pure selfishness as inappropriate, if not immoral, and that the self-interested actor has sympathy for others. He continues that the self-interest of any actor includes the interest of the rest of society, since the socially-defined notions of appropriate and inappropriate actions necessarily affect the interests of the individual as a member of society. This context is useful to understand why Adam Smith was against the idea of corporations or joint stock companies, where he already envisaged the problems of a disconnect between ownership and management.”

Comment
By partnerships I assume Ralph means the 17th-18th-century institution known as ‘co-partneries’, which I discussed last week with Mark Hodak, and the appearance of Regulated Companies and Joint-Stock companies, discussed in detail in Book V of Wealth Of Nations (see last week’s posts).

Adam Smith was not ‘against the idea of corporations, or "joint stock companies’; he was against those chartered corporations and joint stock companies that were formed by Act of Parliament or by Royal warrant as ‘exclusive' monopoly entities.

I shall not repeat the evidence from Wealth Of Nations that Adam Smith did not oppose all joint stock companies (he recommends such arrangements for such as banks, insurance, viaducts, and canals, provided they were not awarded monopolies).

His main complaint about the chartered trading companies were their monopoly status, their lack of supervision (18 month’s round trips of messages from London and back via India) and their integral part in the mercantile political economy of the day which he criticised severely in Book 4 of Wealth Of Nations.

These comments have little to with Raph’s promotion of CSR and therefore he should make his case for or against CSR without reference to Adam Smith.

Adam Smith Manuscript Arrives for Author's Editing

Apologies for an absence since Sunday.

Two factors intervened: one, I have received the editor's copy of the manuscript in the 'Great Thinkers' series for Palgrave and have been responding on my online version, plus editing to reduce the wordage; hopefully, by repetitions, and sloppy sentences and not by major cuts (the fate of my earlier, Adam Smith's Lost Legacy, 2005); and two, my old day job caught up (two-and-a-half years after retiring from Edinburgh Business School) with running a strategy course for investment managers.

The first diversion had my attention when normally I would write posts ahead, the second left me exhausted each day (I am not as young as I used to be!).

I should hope that readers are pleased that my new book (working title, Adam Smith!) is several steps nearer to publication. Palgrave readers and the editor are fairly excited by it, as am I, and checking everything takes time. They want the manuscript back in about three weeks, so it is receiving my close attention.

Later today, I shall post a couple of pieces that have accumulated in my in-tray and I shall also comment on aspects of 'Adam Smith' as I work through the chapters.